NCAA Football Playoff 2014: Latest Predictions After Week 1 Standings

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NCAA Football Playoff 2014: Latest Predictions After Week 1 Standings
Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

From the looks of college football's opening week, the NCAA picked the perfect season to institute the College Football Playoff.

There's no powerhouse that looks poised to run away with the top ranking. If the newly instituted postseason began today, any of the participating squads would enter the melee with a solid chance of coming out on top.

While South Carolina saw its CFB chances vanish, the top-seeded teams all exited Week 1 with a victory. That's enough to keep them in the top four for now, but it might not stay that way for long in a deep pool of contenders.

Note, these rankings reflect my predictions for the next AP poll. I have the No. 2 and 3 squads swapping places for now, but don't be surprised if bigger changes ensue later in the season.

NCAA Associated Press Poll: Week 1
RANK TEAM RECORD POINTS
1 Florida State 1-0 1,496
2 Alabama 1-0 1,361
3 Oregon 1-0 1,334
4 Oklahoma 1-0 1,324
5 Ohio State 1-0 1,207
6 Auburn 1-0 1,198
7 UCLA 1-0 1,106
8 Michigan State 1-0 1,080
9 South Carolina 0-1 1,015
10 Baylor 1-0 966
11 Stanford 1-0 885
12 Georgia 1-0 843
13 LSU 1-0 776
14 Wisconsin 0-1 637
15 USC 1-0 626
16 Clemson 0-1 536
17 Notre Dame 1-0 445
18 Mississippi 1-0 424
19 Arizona State 1-0 357
20 Kansas State 1-0 242
21 Texas A&M 1-0 238
22 Nebraska 1-0 226
23 North Carolina 1-0 194
24 Missouri 1-0 134
25 Washington 1-0 130

AP.org

 

Projected College Football Playoff Matchups:

No. 1 Florida State vs. No. 4 Oklahoma

Florida State came dangerously close to ruining its title defense just as it began. Oklahoma State pushed the Seminoles to the brink in a 37-31 loss.

Jameis Winston compiled 370 passing yards, but he also coughed up two interceptions that kept the Cowboys hopeful. He told Yahoo Sports' Pat Forde that the team needs to play better after surviving a close call.

"We got to get better," Winston said. "I told the guys, 'Hey, that’s an eye opener.' [The Cowboys] played their tails off. So we got to go higher."

The defending Heisman Trophy winner hardly deserves all of the blame. The team averaged 3.4 yards per carry while allowing three opposing scores through the ground.

Since they're the defending champions, expect the Seminoles to receive the benefit of the doubt for now. They should return to normalcy with a convincing victory over The Citadel on Saturday night.

Brett Deering/Getty Images

Oklahoma took a positive in proving it belongs among the nation's top squads. Bob Stoops' squad outgained Louisiana Tech by 191 yards during a 48-16 Week 1 victory.

The Sooners imposed their will on the ground, gaining 183 rushing yards and five touchdowns with Samaje Perine leading the brigade. While they would have been considered a sizable underdog against Florida State a week ago, the Sooners may feel a bit more optimistic about their chances now. 

 

No. 2 Oregon vs. No. 3 Alabama

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Crimson Tide better watch themselves if they don't want to fall any further. 

Yes, they best West Virginia last weekend, but a 33-23 victory won't garner them championship praise. Clint Trickett kept the Mountaineers alive with 365 passing yards, exposing a once feared secondary.

Quarterbacks Blake Sims and Jacob Coker were expected to enter the opener in a timeshare, but the fifth-year senior instead played every snap. Sims held his own, going 24-of-33 with 250 yards passing and 42 rushing, but he also surrendered an interception during the fourth quarter. 

Sports Illustrated's Zac Ellis wonders how this game will affect Alabama's quarterback controversy going forward.

Now, fans must wait and see whether the Blake Sims show has truly taken over in Tuscaloosa. Coker remains a highly touted option, but perhaps Saban and offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin will embrace one simple mantra: If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. The real question is whether Sims can perform similarly against Alabama’s SEC schedule.

If last weekend's game is any indication, Alabama will eventually need a signal-caller who can do more than tread water. Alongside a mortal-looking defense in a loaded SEC, Nick Saban should eventually turn to the Florida State transfer if he wants to keep this playoff spot.

No such dilemma exists in Oregon, where Heisman hopeful Marcus Mariota scored four touchdowns in Oregon's 62-13 opening win over South Dakota. In the process, he broke Joey Harrington's school record for touchdowns, as noted by assistant athletic director Andy McNamara.

A year removed from finishing second in total offensive yards and third in points scored, the Ducks are showing no signs of slowing down this season. They'll face arguably their toughest challenge of the year this Saturday in No. 8 Michigan State, an early showdown with major CFB implications.

While a loss clouds the playoff picture, a win over the Spartans puts Oregon in No. 1 consideration.

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