College Football

College Football Rankings 2014: Projecting Week 2's Top 25 Teams

TALLAHASSEE, FL - APRIL 12:  Members of the Florida State Seminoles take the field for the Garnet and Gold spring game at Doak Campbell Stadium on April 12, 2014 in Tallahassee, Florida.  (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
Stacy Revere/Getty Images
Brian PedersenFeatured ColumnistAugust 28, 2014

The Top 25s that you've come to know over the last 10 days will not exist by the end of this weekend.

The Associated Press' preseason poll came out on Aug. 17, a few weeks after the coaches' poll from Amway was unveiled. Such early rankings are often flawed because they're based on past performances and expected results. It's not until games have been played that we can start to get a sense of how good—or bad—certain teams are, and future polls will reflect those observations.

The AP and Amway will release their first regular-season polls shortly after Week 1's action ends on Monday night. But we can't wait that long to see the next rankings, so we're putting together our own projected poll now.

Using the initial poll as a guide, and taking into account expected results from this weekend's action (you can find our predictions for every Week 1 game here), we have projected what the rankings will look like for Week 2. Consideration will be given to the margin of victory and strength of opponents, things that can affect how the AP's 60 voters and Amway's 63 pollsters go about ranking their Top 25.

Here's what we are projecting the future Top 25 to be: 

Projected Top 25 for Week 2
RankTeamRecordPrevious AP RankingPrevious Amway Ranking
1.Florida State1-011
2.Alabama1-022
3.Oklahoma1-034
4.Oregon1-043
5.Auburn1-065
6.UCLA1-077
7.South Carolina1-099
8.Michigan State1-088
9.Georgia1-01212
10.LSU1-01313
11.Baylor1-01010
12.Stanford1-01111
13.USC1-01515
14.Ole Miss1-01819
15.Notre Dame1-01717
16.Ohio State0-156
17.Wisconsin0-11414
18.Arizona State1-01918
19.Kansas State1-02021
20.Clemson0-11616
21.Nebraska1-02222
22.North Carolina1-02323
23.Missouri1-024NR
24.Florida1-0NRNR
25.Navy1-0NRNR
Bleacher Report research

 

Teams on the Rise

Florida: The Gators received the second-most votes of any team that didn't begin the year in the Top 25, and more voters will come on board after seeing what Kurt Roper is able to do with quarterback Jeff Driskel. Sure, it will be against Idaho, but if the offense looks crisp and efficient, Florida will start making an early push to be this year's comeback kid. 

Georgia: The Bulldogs will move into the top 10 after taking down Clemson in a nip-and-tuck game that shows how well quarterback Hutson Mason has a grasp on the offense. Georgia's defense will give up a lot of yards, but it will also make some big plays and swarm with an intensity not seen from last year's porous unit.

LSU: While the Tigers will win the war over Wisconsin in Houston, the most notable thing to come out of their victory will be the first salvos in Leonard Fournette's battle to vie for the Heisman as a true freshman. The expectations for greatness have been there for a while, writes ESPN.com's David Ching:

"Nobody seems to doubt that Fournette will become a star at LSU. The only question is how quickly he will join the likes of Marshall Faulk, Warrick Dunn, Kevin Faulk, Matt Forte and Joe McKnight among the best backs to emerge from the talent-rich state of Louisiana."

Though he'll share carries with Kenny Hilliard and Terrence Magee, it will be Fournette's touches that prove most memorable.

Navy quarterback Keenan Reynolds
Navy quarterback Keenan ReynoldsMatt Strasen/Associated Press

Ole Miss: A hard-fought win over Boise State on Thursday night in Atlanta, combined with losses above them, will help the Rebels climb into the top 15.

Navy: The opening week's biggest upset will come in Baltimore and by the hands of the Midshipmen, who will knock off Ohio State. Junior quarterback Keenan Reynolds, who ran for 31 touchdowns last season, will score at least twice in taking down the Buckeyes.

 

Teams Falling

Clemson: The Tigers' inexperienced offense does well, but not well enough to keep up with Georgia in Athens. Senior quarterback Cole Stoudt looks good and will get better as the season goes on, though Clemson's defense fails to make the impact it needed to in order to come out on top.

Ohio State: It won't be the absence of Braxton Miller that hurts as much as the Buckeyes' inability to contain the option run game of Navy. OSU's vaunted defensive line can't get push up the middle, and Navy's Reynolds will be able to run at will, dropping the Buckeyes 10 or 11 spots. Only because some voters may give OSU credit for the loss being almost like a road game will keep it from falling further.

Texas A&M quarterback Kenny Hill
Texas A&M quarterback Kenny HillUSA TODAY Sports

Texas A&M: The first game of the post-Johnny Manziel era won't be as horrible as some might predict, but the Aggies also won't look like a team that deserves to be ranked. A convincing Thursday night loss at South Carolina will knock A&M out of the Top 25 for the first time since Sept. 2012.

Washington: The Huskies will come up short in Chris Petersen's coaching debut, losing a shootout to Hawaii late Saturday night. Washington will start 0-1 for the first time since 2010.

Wisconsin: The Badgers' losing streak will extend to three games dating back to last November after losing a close one to LSU in Houston. Wisconsin's Melvin Gordon will gain 100-plus yards, but he will need far more carries than he usually would to get there.

 

Follow Brian J. Pedersen on Twitter at @realBJP.

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