US Open Tennis 2014: Odds and Predictions Following Bracket Draw

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US Open Tennis 2014: Odds and Predictions Following Bracket Draw
Al Behrman/Associated Press

Every player at the 2014 U.S. Open now knows their path to the fourth and final major of the year. 

The draw was announced Thursday, allowing us to take a much more in-depth look at what to expect in New York.

On the men's side, Rafael Nadal's absence has seemingly left Roger Federer a dream draw, while the last three major champions (not counting Nadal), Novak Djokovic, Stan Wawrinka and Andy Murray, all find themselves on the same, daunting side.  

For the women, it sure looks like Serena Williams' draw to lose on the top, along with a whole lot of uncertainty on the bottom. 

Let's take a gander. 

 

Bracket Draw

You can find the men's bracket here and the women's bracket here, courtesy of USOpen.org.

 

Men's Odds

2014 U.S Open: Men's Odds
Player Odds
Novak Djokovic 6-5
Roger Federer 3-1
Andy Murray 4-1
Stanislas Wawrinka 12-1
Grigor Dimitrov 14-1
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 20-1
Milos Raonic 20-1
Tomas Berdych 40-1
Kei Nishikori 50-1
David Ferrer 66-1
Ernests Gulbis 80-1
John Isner 80-1
Jerzy Janowicz 100-1
Marin Cilic 100-1
Nick Kyrgios 100-1

OddsShark.com

Note: Complete odds can be found at OddsShark.com

 

Women's Odds

2014 U.S. Open: Women's Odds
Player Odds
Serena Williams 7-4
Maria Sharapova 5-1
Simona Halep 7-1
Eugenie Bouchard 9-1
Petra Kvitova 12-1
Victoria Azarenka 14-1
Caroline Wozniacki 18-1
Agnieszka Radwanska 20-1
Ana Ivanovic 25-1
Venus Williams 25-1
Angelique Kerber 40-1
Madison Keys 40-1
Sloane Stephens 40-1
Garbine Muguruza 50-1
Sam Stosur 50-1
Dominika Cibulkova 100-1
Sabine Lisicki 100-1
Laura Robson 100-1

OddsShark.com

Note: Complete odds can be found at OddsShark.com

 

Men's Prediction

David Kohl/Associated Press

Nothing should be taken for granted in the tennis world, but Federer's name can safely be penciled into the final. 

In fact, Fed-Ex has done just that in four consecutive tournaments. The last three—Wimbledon and then a pair of Masters 1000 tourneys on hard courtshave been especially impressive, while he rolled through the gauntlet of Gael Monfils, Murray, Milos Raonic and David Ferrer to win the Western & Southern Open last week. 

He talked about his beaming confidence after that win, via ATPWorldTour.com:

I'm very happy about the week. Just overall it went from good to great. Just really pleased that I was able to back up a tough week last week already.

Especially now I come in with great confidence. I can really rest now, rather than having to work on stuff, so it's just about maintaining. That's also really good for the mind... I know my game is where I want it to be. It's about just keeping that level up right now.

Further improving his outlook in New York, he received an extremely favorable draw, as Tennis.com noted:

As for his opponent in the final, look for the guy who has been there the last four years. 

Al Behrman/Associated Press

That's not to say it will be easy. Here's a list of who Djokovic has beaten since Wimbledon: Gael Monfils and Gilles Simon. That's right. Since early July, he hasn't beaten anyone who isn't from the country of France. 

Moreover, his draw is significantly more difficult than Federer's. ESPN's Greg Garber explained:

No. 1 seed Novak Djokovic, meanwhile, has a nasty little draw; he'd see top-ranked American John Isner (who has withdrawn from the Winston-Salem event with a sprained ankle) in the fourth round, and either 2012 US Open champion Andy Murray or Toronto champion Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the quarters. Ugh.

If he manages his way through that, he could potentially see Wawrinka, who fought Djoker to five tough sets last year and beat him in Australia this year, in the semis. 

Who will win the U.S. Open?

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Nevertheless, the Serbian is still the best hard-court player in the world, while Murray and Wawrinka are also struggling as of late. 

Which brings us to the Wimbledon rematch. Djokovic won a thriller in London, but Federer is playing better than anyone on tour right now. As long as the 33-year-old doesn't overwork himself in the earlier rounds—a manageable task considering the draw—he's going to bring home No. 18. 

 

Women's Prediction

David Kohl/Associated Press

Forecasting the women's circuit this year has been completely unpredictable. In the year's first three majors, there have been six ladies to make the finals: Li Na, Dominika Cibulkova, Maria Sharapova, Simona Halep, Petra Kvitova, Eugenie Bouchard

If you realize whose name isn't on the list, you know there's a good chance for that trend to continue in New York. 

Serena Williams has won the last two U.S. Open tournaments and is coming off a dominant showing in Cincinnati in which she dropped just one set total against Samantha Stosur, Flavia Pennetta, Jelena Jankovic, Caroline Wozniacki and Ana Ivanovic.

"Definitely my best performance of the summer," she said after crushing Ivanovic, via ESPN.com's Susie Arth. "Hopefully not the last."

Who are you taking?

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Her season has been disappointing—no quarterfinal appearance at any major—but she's back at the top of her game at the right time. 

As for the other half of the bracket, we'll go with Caroline Wozniacki. She hasn't reached a major quarterfinal since 2012, but she has played well recently, making deep runs at Cincinnati and Montreal after winning the BNP Paribas Istanbul Cup in July. Her side of the draw is wide open, and the U.S. Open is typically her best major. 

It doesn't matter who advances, though. They aren't getting past Serena. 

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