5 Buy-Low Fantasy Quarterbacks with High Upside in 2014
Supply is plentiful in this year's fantasy football quarterback class.
Basic economic principles will tell you that when supply increases, the price of a commodity is likely to decrease.
The same principles apply in fantasy football.
With so many high-quality QBs in the NFL and rule changes that heavily favor the offensive side of the ball, you can afford to wait a long time to draft your team's starter as opposed to spending an early pick on someone like Drew Brees or Peyton Manning.
So if we wait to grab a mid- to late-round QB, who should we target?
We'll look at five signal-callers with low average draft positions (ADP) and high upside.
5. Cam Newton
On paper, Cam Newton's receiving corps is abysmal, with Jerricho Cotchery and Jason Avant at the top of the depth chart followed by rookie Kelvin Benjamin. Despite Newton finishing as the third-best fantasy QB in 2013, the situation in Carolina has dropped his stock considerably.
But considering that Steve Smith and Brandon Lafell weren't statistically better than Cotchery and Avant last year, it might be a mistake to downgrade Newton as much as people have.
If you don't mind the Carolina Panthers' receiving corps, he's a cheap QB1 with an ADP that typically hovers near Round 7.
4. Andy Dalton
Though he's not considered to be part of the elite class of NFL QBs, Andy Dalton did finish as one of the top five fantasy QBs in 2013.
His value has dropped because of a horrendous Wild Card Round loss and regular season in which many believed he "backed in" to a top-five finish because of three 30-plus-point games.
This year, he's typically being drafted in the 11th round.
If nothing else, that makes him a really cheap QB option. We should also note that he's still got A.J. Green.
3. Russell Wilson
It might be hard to view Russell Wilson as more than just a game manager at this point in his career, especially since the Seattle Seahawks can rely so heavily on their defense and rushing attack to win games.
Despite being largely disregarded by the fantasy community, Wilson finished eighth among QBs in fantasy points in 2013, ahead of Colin Kaepernick, Tony Romo and Tom Brady.
Even if he merely maintains his production—a full season of Percy Harvin could have a lot to say about that—he's not going to lose you many games.
It's safe to assume he can be counted on for a steady stream of 16-point games.
2. Matt Ryan
Matt Ryan's ADP, though higher as of late, has held steady around the sixth or seventh round. This makes him a palatable choice if you assume he'll have a full season of Julio Jones and a nonexistent running game to work with.
A horrendous 2013 season for the Atlanta Falcons has dropped his stock, but he's still a reliable QB1 with top-five potential.
1. Ben Roethlisberger
Ben Roethlisberger's stock continues to drop as a result of having not finished as a top-10 fantasy QB since 2009. Not only that, but the loss of Emmanuel Sanders hurts him in Todd Haley's dink-and-dunk offense.
However, Roethlisberger's potential is still solid with an established running game led by Le'Veon Bell and a standout wide receiver in Antonio Brown.
It's also worth considering that Roethlisberger excelled when Pittsburgh ran a no-huddle offense last year—a method it has pledged to continue implementing this season.
At this point, he's still a high-end backup. But with an ADP in the 11th round, he could also be considered a low-risk QB1 with high upside.