UFC Fight Night 47 Main Card Betting Odds and Predictions

Nathan McCarterFeatured ColumnistAugust 14, 2014

UFC Fight Night 47 Main Card Betting Odds and Predictions

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    Nam Y. Huh/Associated Press

    UFC Fight Night 47 comes to us from Maine this Saturday with a top-10 light heavyweight tilt as the main event.

    No. 8-ranked contender Ryan Bader takers on No. 10-ranked Ovince St. Preux in the evening's final bout. Lightweights Gray Maynard and Ross Pearson battle it out in the co-main event of the six-fight main card.

    The action on the card will give bettors plenty of opportunities to cash in.

    We will break down the main card action in order to supply you with more information of the six main card bouts to help you make better informed decisions on the action. All six bouts take place in different divisions with different implications for their respective divisions.

    Let's jump right in and begin breaking down the fights.

     

    All odds courtesy of Odds Shark.

Thiago Tavares (-175) vs. Robbie Peralta (+145)

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    USA TODAY Sports

    Tavares is a winner in three of his last four outings, and Peralta is coming off back-to-back victories. The featherweight tilt has no direct impact on the rankings, but it should be a fun opening fight.

    Both fighters are well rounded, and this is just good matchmaking. It's an even contest.

    I give a slight edge to Peralta coming off a tough split-decision win against Rony Jason. He has been a bit more active than Tavares and is building some momentum. He will continue to build upon that on Saturday.

    At plus-145, there is a little value to be had as well.

    Prediction: Peralta

    The Play: A small flier on the underdog.

Shawn Jordan (-210) vs. Jack May (+170)

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    USA TODAY Sports

    Perhaps I am overvaluing Jordan, but my eyes are lighting up at seeing him at only minus-210.

    May entered the UFC in April and was unceremoniously knocked out by Derrick Lewis. Meanwhile, Jordan has been in the Octagon against some stiff competition for years. I like his experience in the cage to win out.

    Jordan has shown some decent skills, and heavy hands, in his outings. That should carry him in this fight.

    I like Jordan by stoppage.

    Prediction: Jordan

    The Play: A big play on Jordan.

Seth Baczynski (-150) vs. Alan Jouban (+120)

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    USA TODAY Sports

    This is the only fight on the main card I will tell you to avoid playing, but if you want to throw a little something on either fighter, you could.

    Jouban is largely an unknown commodity. He has performed well enough on regional cards like RFA, but he has not stepped inside the Octagon.

    Baczynski may be 1-3 in his last four outings, but he fought good competition such as Mike Pierce and Thiago Alves in that stretch. Jouban is a step down for him and a chance to find his sea legs again. He is tough to finish and will be a good test for Jouban's UFC debut.

    Just enjoy the fight. It's a bit too unpredictable to play.

    Prediction: Baczynski

    The Play: Avoid the fight

Tim Boetsch (+210) vs. Brad Tavares (-270)

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    USA TODAY Sports

    I was a bit surprised to see Boetsch sitting as a 2-1 dog in this fight, but it makes sense. He has dropped three of his last four, and that includes his contentious decision win over C.B. Dollaway.

    Tavares, on the other hand, just had his five-fight win streak broken by Yoel Romero.

    I like Tavares to win, but there is good value on Boetsch. This is a very winnable fight for him close to home. Tavares' win streak saw him beating up on middling fighters, and Boetsch is a perennial top-15 fighter (currently No. 14). And Tavares has had to struggle to beat a couple of them.

    Boetsch has to be successful with his takedowns to win, but that is easier said than done against Tavares.

    I like Tavares in another close decision but love the value with Boetsch.

    Prediction: Tavares

    The Play: Take a chance on Boetsch at 2-1 odds.

Gray Maynard (+115) vs. Ross Pearson (-145)

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    Eric Jamison/Associated Press

    Has time passed Maynard by in the lightweight division? Maybe, but I still believe he has gas in the tank.

    And with that, you should jump on Maynard, as he sits as a slight dog. I have to imagine the line will close near even money for the former title contender.

    Pearson has looked stellar since returning to the division, but Maynard isn't going to play around with him on the feet. The talented wrestler will try to put him on his back repeatedly. And he will have every opportunity to do just that, and that's why I like him to take it on the cards.

    Maynard will close the distance and force Pearson into a grinding fight, and Maynard wins those battles.

    Prediction: Maynard

    The Play: Play Maynard now before the line shifts.

Ryan Bader (-185) vs. Ovince St. Preux (+150)

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    Jeff Chiu/Associated Press

    I recently did a head-to-toe breakdown of the main event and have to stick with my prediction from earlier this week.

    Bader is the favorite for good reason, and he will be the likely victor by virtue of his wrestling and cardio. He can grind out St. Preux over the course of the five rounds but must be careful of St. Preux's striking attacks.

    It's a gut feeling that St. Preux will clip Bader. With the current odds, I would advise you to go with your gut as well. There is value on both men, but don't play enough to lose your shirt, as neither fighter is a guaranteed victory. It's a "pick 'em" fight.

    I am taking St. Preux, but it is far from a lock. He is more diverse standing and has a better submission attack. Five rounds is a long time not to be tagged once.

    Prediction: St. Preux

    The Play: A small play on your gut feeling will be OK.

    Just-for-Fun Full-Card Parlay: Frankie Saenz, Tom Watson, Sara McMann, Zach Makovsky, Robbie Peralta, Shawn Jordan, Seth Baczynski, Tim Boetsch, Gray Maynard, Ovince St. Preux