Fantasy Football

Russell Wilson a Sneaky Value Pick in 2014 Fantasy Football Leagues

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) throws against the Denver Broncos during the first half of an NFL preseason football game, Thursday, Aug. 7, 2014, in Denver. (AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)
Jack Dempsey/Associated Press
Tim KeeneyContributor IAugust 14, 2014

In fantasy circles, just hearing Russell Wilson's name invokes yawns and droopy eyes. 

Few quarterbacks have enjoyed the kind of real-life success in their first two seasons as the 25-year-old, but from a fantasy perspective, he is already regarded as a safe, boring option with limited upside.

The main culprit is his offense. 

Volume often breeds fantasy success, and Wilson gets none of the former. The Seattle Seahawks, one of the most run-heavy teams in the league, have finished first and second in the NFL in rushing attempts each of the past two years.

Ted S. Warren/Associated Press

Last season, Wilson attempted 407 passes. That was least among quarterbacks who started at least 12 games.

And it's not going to change anytime soon. When asked about altering the playbook and opening up the passing game a little bit, Pete Carroll was adamant about his intended refusal to do so, via The Seattle Times' Bob Condotta:

Gosh, we don’t want to do that. Why would we want to do that? We’re just going to keep growing. We’re not changing anything. We’re just playing ball the way we play. We’ll always play to the strengths and uniqueness of our players and hopefully as the guys develop, you learn more. 

Add it all up, and Wilson is being drafted 15th among quarterbacks—a late 10th-round pick in 12-team leagues, according to FantasyFootballCalculator.com.

That, right there, is tremendous value.

He may be boring, but that's only because he is consistently very good. Check out Wilson's stats through his first two years in the league (fantasy points and rankings are courtesy of NFL.com's standard scoring system):

SeasonCompletion %Pass YardsPass TDsRushing YardsRushing TDsFantasy PointsFantasy Rank (QBs)
201264.13,118264894275.6210
201363.13,357265391270.188

Essentially, what you've seen so far is his floor. He has thrown for just 202.3 yards per game, yet because he is so ridiculously efficient—his 8.5 adjusted yards per attempt were sixth in the NFL last year—and because he makes plays with his legs, he has remained a top-10 fantasy quarterback. 

And despite the perception, there is plenty of room to grow. 

A healthy Percy Harvin, the addition of lightning-fast rookie Paul Richardson and an improved offensive line (it can't get much more worse than last year) will all benefit Wilson, who is still improving. 

As NFL Philosophy noted, he was a game manager for much of his rookie year:

The volume and team situation will always serve as a cap on his fantasy value, but this will be just his third season. He's going to get better. Considering what he's already done, that's a scary thought. 

Ultimately, you're getting a player who has the floor of a top-12 QB and the ceiling of a top-seven QB—and you're getting it for a QB15 price. 

Where can I comment?

Stay on your game

Latest news, insights, and forecasts on your teams across leagues.

Choose Teams
Get it on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Real-time news for your teams right on your mobile device.

Download
Copyright © 2017 Bleacher Report, Inc. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BleacherReport.com is part of Bleacher Report – Turner Sports Network, part of the Turner Sports and Entertainment Network. Certain photos copyright © 2017 Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Getty Images is strictly prohibited. AdChoices