2014/15 Premier League Table Predicted by Statistics and Data Analysis

Mark PattersonFeatured Columnist IVApril 11, 2017


Bloomberg Sports, in combination with Opta Sports data, has put together a predicted Premier League table for the 2014/15 season, which points to Liverpool being the team to miss out on the top four.

The table predicts a tight race for the title, with Chelsea first and Manchester City second. Arsenal and Manchester United round out the top four spots.

At the other end of the table, Burnley, QPR and Aston Villa are the tips for relegation.

How did Bloomberg Sports calculate all of this? Per its website:

Once each team is given its distinctive Bloomberg Sports rating, we simulate each match of the season 100,000 times in order to provide a projection for the level of success expected for each club. The simulation eliminates ambiguity in the league table, and provides an accurate projection as a result of its large sample size.

Fascinating—but a little disheartening if you like a bit of unpredictability.

According to the findings, only seven teams have any chance of winning the Premier League this season (Spurs and Everton have a combined 1 percent chance). None of the top seven have even a 0.1 percent chance of going down.

If you want to hope for something freakish to happen, then how about Stoke reaching the Champions League?

According to the data, there's a 0.1 percent chance that the Potters will crack the top four this season.

You heard it here first.