MLB Trade Deadline 2014: Predictions for Top Pitchers Amid Latest Rumors

Matt FitzgeraldCorrespondent IIIJuly 31, 2014

Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher David Price waves to fans as he heads for the bullpen before a scheduled start against the Milwaukee Brewers in an interleague baseball game Wednesday, July 30, 2014, in St. Petersburg, Fla. Price has been the subject of trade rumors. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
Chris O'Meara/Associated Press

Thursday's non-waiver MLB trade deadline may result in a serious shakeup with regard to the playoff picture if some of the pitchers involved in the latest rumors switch teams.

Starting pitching is the most critical element to contending for a World Series crown, so plenty of clubs will be attempting to upgrade in that area any way they can. Much of the latest buzz comes out of the American League East division, featuring the likes of Tampa Bay Rays ace David Price, along with Boston Red Sox teammates Jon Lester and John Lackey.

The St. Louis Cardinals already enhanced their staff by landing Justin Masterson from the Cleveland Indians Wednesday, as per's Jenifer Langosch. It will be interesting to see what type of domino effect—if any—that has on the other front offices mulling deals.

Here is a closer look at Price, Lester and Lackey and where they might end up in light of what exists on the rumor mill.


Jon Lester, Boston Red Sox

ST PETERSBURG, FL - JULY 25:  Jon Lester #31 of the Boston Red Sox pitches during the first inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on July 25, 2014 in St Petersburg, Florida.  (Photo by Scott Iskowitz/Getty Images)
Scott Iskowitz/Getty Images

There isn't much for the reigning World Series champions to play for anymore, since they're in last place in the AL East by a considerable margin. With that in mind, it's time to look to the future, in which plenty can be had in exchange for a southpaw dynamo like Lester.

According to Fox Sports 1's Jon Morosi, Lester could also be in the market to go to St. Louis:'s Nick Cafardo named a number of other teams in the market for Lester:

Speculation swirled regarding Lester's status when he was scratched from the lineup Wednesday, prompting him to take to Twitter, appreciating the fan support:

Lester is beloved in Beantown—and rightly so, given the wonders he's accomplished as part of one of baseball's most storied franchises. ESPN Stats & Info highlighted Lester's elite, crowning achievements:

One team in particular that Lester has been linked to is inside the division: the AL East-leading Baltimore Orioles, as per Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe:

That is quite an interesting proposition, and Boston had better have a viable vision for the future if Lester remains in Baltimore. Facing him so often every season, if he continues to dominate, would make the trade all the more difficult for Red Sox fans to take.

Given that Lester is pitching so well this season, with a 10-7 record and a 2.52 ERA, Boston is taking a considerable risk in giving him up, if it chooses to do so. The heights he's reached with the Red Sox will be hard for any of Lester's successors to replicate, as the team searches for a new ace.

There are so many teams in the market for Lester, but based on Abraham's sources on both sides, it looks like his most likely landing spot is in Baltimore.

Prediction: Lester is traded to the Orioles.


David Price, Tampa Bay Rays

ST PETERSBURG, FL - JULY 25:   David Price #14 of the Tampa Bay Rays pitches during the first inning against the Boston Red Sox at Tropicana Field on July 25, 2014 in St Petersburg, Florida.  (Photo by Scott Iskowitz/Getty Images)
Scott Iskowitz/Getty Images

The Rays are just five games out of the final wild-card spot in the AL playoff chase, courtesy of a recent hot streak.

With the bats coming around and Price pitching well, leading all of baseball with 189 strikeouts, trading him has become an even trickier proposition. That's more to do with the king's ransom a lot of teams would pay just to get Price, whose contract doesn't expire until after the 2015 season.

"We are talking and willing. [We'll] see if any teams have the desire," said one source about the possibility of trading Price, as per CBS Sports' Jon Heyman.

It would be sad to see Price leave Tampa Bay with a losing decision, yet that's what could happen after he was on the bump for a 5-0 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.

As impressive as it's been that the Rays have battled back from obscurity this season, Grantland's Jonah Keri notes how history isn't exactly on their side:

The latest update from Morosi hints that Tampa Bay is looking to the future and whatever will benefit manager Joe Maddon's club most in the long run, rather than what will earn the most victories this year:

Price is irreplaceable, and much like Lester's situation in Boston, the Rays had better construct a strong contingency plan. They are also unable to buy their way back to prominence like the Red Sox can with their gigantic payroll.

The ever-frugal Rays have bucked the odds, played hard for Maddon and built a team with modest costs. Their elite talents are few and far between, which would add to the disappointment of getting rid of Price if he continues to deal like a No. 1-caliber starter.


John Lackey, Boston Red Sox 

ST PETERSBURG, FL - JULY 26:  John Lackey #41 of the Boston Red Sox pitches during the first inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on July 26, 2014 in St Petersburg, Florida.  (Photo by Scott Iskowitz/Getty Images)
Scott Iskowitz/Getty Images

Lackey's 11-7 record with a 3.60 ERA suggests he has plenty left in the tank at age 35. Having missed the entire 2012 campaign, the veteran has performed well in two seasons since.

Morosi reports that the Red Sox are considering shipping Lackey to the Miami Marlins and have had discussions with that suitor about Lester, too:

Fox Sports' Ken Rosenthal added it's likely that both Lackey and Lester will be shipped out of Boston:

It makes sense that the Red Sox want to get value out of Lester, even if he wants to stay in Boston. Lester's contract expires after this season, but keeping Lackey seems logical, too. Lackey is making just $500,000 next season.

That's because, as per, Lackey's injury that forced him to miss 2012 left him with a club option in the final year of his deal at the MLB veteran minimum salary. Thus, the Marlins would be getting a bargain in Lackey and someone who could help mentor a younger pitching staff that ranks 20th in quality starts.

BOSTON, MA - SEPTEMBER 19: John Lackey #41 of the Boston Red Sox celebrates with Jon Lester #31 of the Boston Red Sox after pitching a two-hit complete game against the Baltimore Orioles to clinch a playoff position at Fenway Park on September 19, 2013 in
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Between what Miami is seeking and how Lester likely wants to spend the remainder of his career on a team built to contend soon, Lackey makes more sense as a one-year option with the Marlins. For Lester to remain there long term, Miami would have to sell him on its plan, which could be tough.

The Marlins would love to pick up Lackey's cheaper player option, taking away the complication of persuading Lester to stay. Plus, to get either one of these Red Sox hurlers, it will likely require Miami to put one premium prospect or more on the block. Lester will command more in return for Boston than Lackey will.

Therefore, it appears Lackey is destined to head south, while Lester will either stick with the Red Sox and help them contend in the future, or perhaps close out a second straight World Series in the AL East. Only this time, it will be with a different team, the Orioles.

Prediction: Lackey is traded to the Marlins.