Stock Up, Stock Down for the Los Angeles Dodgers' Top 10 Prospects for Week 17
The top of the Los Angeles Dodgers system is in the news again, as rumors about the Dodgers making a big splash at the deadline inevitably include mentions of Corey Seager, Joc Pederson, and Julio Urias. General manager Ned Colletti has said, though, that he does not want to trade any of those three.
As has been the case for much of the year, the rest of the system is not noteworthy. The other seven players on the list are all pitchers, and only Jose Dominguez has been dominant recently. However, with the big league bullpen’s struggles, it is possible we see at least one of the names on this list relatively soon.
10. Matt Magill, RHP
Last week’s stats: 3.2 IP, 0 R, 2 K, 1 BB
After struggling mightily as a reliever for the weeks immediately following his conversion to the bullpen, Matt Magill appears to have turned it around for the Triple-A Albuquerque Isotopes. He hasn’t allowed an earned run since July 2, and he has walked just two batters in that time span. The problem is that he was so bad for much of the year that even with six straight scoreless outings, his ERA as a reliever is still 4.55.
2014 stats: 68 IP, 4.90 ERA, 57 K, 41 BB
9. Jose Dominguez, RHP
Last week’s stats: 2.1 IP, 0 R, 2 K, 0 BB
Jose Dominguez continues to be impressive, and he is staking his claim to a big league spot. With three major league relievers (Chris Perez, Paul Maholm and Jamey Wright) struggling, it is entirely plausible that GM Ned Colletti will be looking to Albuquerque sooner rather than later.
When that time does come, Dominguez is certainly on the short list. He already has some big league experience, so his eventual call-up will be no surprise.
2014 stats: 6.1 IP, 11.37 ERA, 12 K, 6 BB (majors); 33.1 IP, 3.24 ERA, 39 K, 18 BB (Triple-A)
8. Pedro Baez, RHP
Last week’s stats: 3 IP, 2 R, 1 K, 0 BB
After I’ve been singing his praises all year, Pedro Baez has struggled recently. His ERA in the month of July is 9.00, and that is compounded by the fact that he has just one strikeout. If we’re looking for silver linings, he has also walked only one. However, he has allowed two hits in each of his last four outings, demonstrating that he simply is not getting enough swings and misses.
2014 stats: 19.1 IP, 2.79 ERA, 18 K, 9 BB (Double-A); 19 IP, 4.74 ERA, 18 K, 4 BB (Triple-A)
7. Tom Windle, LHP
Last week’s stats: 6.0 IP, 4 R, 5 K, 2 BB
Tom Windle is struggling mightily at High-A Rancho Cucamonga. This latest poor performance marked the fourth consecutive time he has allowed at least four runs, and it’s his third consecutive start with at least two walks. July has been his worst month by far: His 7.20 ERA this month is his worst of the year by over two full runs.
Chris Rodriguez of Baseball Prospectus recently published a scouting report of the Dodgers lefty, and it was not that encouraging. I urge all readers to check it out for themselves, but the gist of it is that his secondary stuff is not where it needs to be in order for Windle to remain a starting pitcher.
2014 stats: 103.2 IP, 4.69 ERA, 86 K, 31 BB
6. Chris Reed, LHP
Last week’s stats: 4.2 IP, 6 R (4 ER), 2 K, 1 BB
It’s fitting that Chris Reed follows Windle on this list every week, because the two lefties have some definite similarities. Reed is two years older at 24, so the Dodgers will have been expecting some growth—particularly as it is his second full season in Double-A. However, he simply hasn’t done so.
Overall, though, the Stanford product has been pretty good. His season numbers are respectable, and his walk ratio is the best of his career. He has just been inconsistent all year.
2014 stats: 123 IP, 3.37 ERA, 111 K, 50 BB
5. Chris Anderson, RHP
Last week’s stats: 10 IP, 2 R, 5 K, 10 BB
I’m legitimately not certain I’ve ever seen a line as strange as the one Chris Anderson put up in his second start of the week. On July 26 against High-A High Desert, Anderson threw five innings and allowed one run, which sounds positive. But the righty also managed seven walks and three hits, so he had a WHIP of 2.000, but somehow only one of those 10 runners crossed the plate.
That game is a good testament to the dangers of scouting by ERA. Anderson’s first start of the week was fine—but not great, with three walks and two K’s—but his two runs allowed for the week does not indicate that he pitched well. Instead, it says that he got a bit lucky.
2014 stats: 96.2 IP, 4.75 ERA, 102 K, 56 BB
4. Zach Lee, RHP
Last week’s stats: 10.2 IP, 9 R, 4 K, 3 BB
Zach Lee has had a bad year at Triple-A Albuquerque. There’s no way around that fact. It’s unfortunate for him as a person and a player, but it’s also a loss for the Dodgers, who have seen a potential trade chip lose a lot of value.
This week saw a continuation of Lee’s struggles from the rest of the season. The young righty has not struck enough batters out, but he has not coupled that with elite command. Instead, he is walking far too many batters as well.
2014 stats: 113 IP, 5.18 ERA, 74 K, 42 BB
3. Julio Urias, LHP
Last week’s stats: 0 IP
Urias had his start for Rancho Cucamonga skipped this week in order to limit his innings.
2014 stats: 55.1 IP, 3.25 ERA, 61 K, 26 BB
2. Joc Pederson, CF
Last week’s stats: 24 AB, 7 H, 1 2B, 3 HR, 1 SB
In basically any other organization, Pederson would be in the big leagues right now. However, the Dodgers already have five starting-caliber outfielders on the major league roster, so there is no spot for the lefty-swinging Pederson.
He continues to hit well in Triple-A Albuquerque, but with Yasiel Puig’s recent appearances in center, there may be no desperate need for the young outfielder—which is significant because it increases the possibility that he is included in a potential trade. That is not to say that he will be traded; any blockbuster deal is, of course, unlikely.
2014 stats: .323/.455/.587, 14 2B, 21 HR, 25 SB
1. Corey Seager, SS
Last week’s stats: 24 AB, 9 H, 3 2B, 0 HR, 0 SB
Seager made his Double-A debut this week, and he has not disappointed thus far—although we should all know the dangers of scouting a stat line that consists of six games. However, the fact that we are seeing a 20-year-old in Double-A is a huge positive for the organization, and it increases the odds that Seager does truly become what we’re all hoping he can be: the future of the Dodgers infield.
2014 stats: .352/.411/.633, 34 2B, 18 HR, 5 SB (High-A); .375/.400/.583, 3 2B, 0 HR, 0 SB (Double-A)
Notes: All statistics courtesy of MiLB.com unless otherwise noted. All statistics updated through July 26 unless otherwise noted. Prospect list courtesy of MLB.com. Nos. 8 and 9 Ross Stripling and Onelki Garcia are injured, so Nos. 11 and 12 Jose Dominguez and Matt Magill have taken their place.
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