SEC football found a new level of unpredictability last season when Auburn and Missouri topped all realistic expectations with their phenomenal runs.
Non-fans might have suspected the two sets of Tigers would be improved—maybe even greatly—but no unaffiliated, rational person could have projected their turnarounds.
Look no further than our own best-case, worst-case predictions from last year.
We thought Missouri would consider “reaching a bowl game as a success” and that Auburn could “surprise people” by “winning seven or eight games.”
However, learning from last year would leave this as quite the pointless exercise.
Yes, Alabama could potentially go 0-12 this year and Kentucky could potentially go 15-0, win the SEC and two playoff games to capture the national championship.
Neither scenario is even remotely viable. If you have strong feelings about one actually happening, you should consult either an oddsmaker or a psychologist—I’m not sure which.
Rather than overreacting to last year’s phenomena, we will list the best- and worst-case realistic scenarios.
In other words, we won’t predict that Arkansas will go 12-2, win the SEC and reach the national championship game any more than we would have predicted Auburn to do so last year.
We will use our own predictions teamed with the over/under totals provided by 5Dimes (via Adam Kramer’s site, Kegs ‘N Eggs, and Jerry Hinnen over at CBS Sports). We will also attempt to separate the schedule into “likely wins,” “likely losses” and “toss-up games.”
Enjoy the predictions.