UFC 100 Lesnar VS Mir: Analysis

(Photo by Peter Kramer/Getty Images)

Verdict: Both fighters seem to have the best conditioning of their lives, but due to a history of being gassed, I give the edge to Lesnar (although I wouldn't be surprised if they were both gassed after the third round).

Experience: Lesnar is one of the least experienced champions in UFC history—he has only four professional fights (three in the UFC). But every one of his fights have been either the main event or the co-main event, which is more than Lyoto Machida, so he is experienced at the biggest stage.

Frank Mir has only 15 professional fights which isn't a lot considering how long he has been fighting for because of the motorcycle accident. But Mir is greatly experienced in those fights and is 2-0 when fighting for a belt.

Verdict: Mir is easily more experienced and that experience should help him in this fight.

Lesnar's gameplan coming into the fight will be to keep it on the feet, he doesn't want to risk the fight by putting Mir on his back, Lesnar should look to be more cautious and not get caught up in the moment if he knocks Mir down (like he did in the first fight).

Lesnar will look to impose his power advantage on Mir by clinching him a lot against the cage and using dirty boxing to rough him up, building up Mir to be hit with a power shot from further away.

Mir's plan will be simple get the fight to the ground as soon and as often as possible, Mir is in his element on the ground, while Lesnar isn't and therefore is at an immediate disadvantage. Mir should look to not exert himself too much in the first round because of his history of conditioning problems.

Prediction: I predict a very tentative first round from both fighters and I expect a total stand up affair, I think Lesnar will eventually knock Mir down and the fight will be decided by what he does next, if he rushes in like the first fight I can see the same result, if he takes his time I can see him beating Mir.

My prediction: Lesnar by TKO towards the end of Round Two.

Please feel free to leave any comments.

You're currently logged into Facebook

Do you want to share your Bleacher Report activity on Facebook?