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ESPN.com ADP: 72.9
The rookie wide receiver out of Clemson was arguably the best wide receiver in this year's draft and enters the league with high expectations. He is an intriguing prospect, but fantasy expectations should be tempered for the rookie.
ESPN's Tristan Cockcroft discusses in this article the trap that fantasy owners fall into when drafting rookie wide receivers:
...only 19 NFL rookie wide receivers since 1960 (that's 54 seasons) and six since 2000 (that's 14 seasons) managed to score 140 or more fantasy points. To put that into perspective, consider that 17 wide receivers managed at least 140 fantasy points in 2013 alone.
On top of the struggles of rookie wide receivers, the concerns surrounding Manuel could hold Watkins back this coming season. If a wide receiver plays in offense that has a shaky situation at quarterback, it is a major blow to his value.
The other concern with Watkins is that because of the player he is, defenses are going to focus on him more. While he faced this in college, the NFL is a different ballgame that requires a learning period for most players. This could cause some inconsistency from game to game for Watkins. He could be a very frustrating player for owners.
Prediction: Low WR2/high WR3 option