British Open Favorites 2014: Projecting Daily Score Totals for Golf's Top Stars

Sean ODonnellContributor IIIJuly 16, 2014

Royal Liverpool Golf Club in Hoylake, England certainly won't take it easy on any of the 2014 British Open competitors.

This seaside links course isn't exactly the most difficult in the country, but dramatic shifts in weather can quickly come into play throughout the four-day tournament. According to, conditions won't be optimal, as rain and some strong winds could be expected.

According to odds provided by Odds Shark, let's take a look at how the tournament's top players are likely to fare on a day-by-day basis this year at Royal Liverpool.


Day 1

This will be the day in which players will look to get off to a hot start.

With just a 10 percent chance of rain and relatively mild 7 mph winds expected, scores could be relatively low on Thursday.

As rain will most likely begin to filter into the area later in the day, golfers with early tee times should be rewarded on Thursday. This bodes well for Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson and Tiger Woods.

Two of these players were actually placed in the same group:

Unfortunately, Adam Scott, Martin Kaymer, Justin Rose and Phil Mickelson will tee off in the afternoon, possibly making weather more of a factor.

Still, Scott has been in top form this season and should produce a fair number to open. On the other hand, Woods has had very little time to prepare, and despite a favorable tee time, he could struggle early in the tournament.

Day 1 Predictions
PlayerR1To Par
Henrik Stenson68-4
Rory McIlroy70-2
Adam Scott70-2
Martin Kaymer71-1
Justin Rose72E
Phil Mickelson73+1
Tiger Woods75+3
Sean O'Donnell's Predictions


Day 2

Friday could prove to be the most difficult day of the tournament, as players scramble to either make the cut or put themselves in position to make a run over the weekend.

Producing a low score will be difficult though, due to expected 17 mph winds and a chance of rain.

Links courses like Royal Liverpool are highly affected by wind due to their flat landscape. The winds on Friday will force many players out of their comfort zones and into shot selections they normally wouldn't play.

These conditions will once again favor early tee times, but European players will have an advantage over American players due to familiarity.

This isn't good for Woods, as he's continued to struggle in majors over recent years:

Day 2 Predictions
PlayerR1R2To Par
Henrik Stenson6871-5
Rory McIlroy7071-3
Adam Scott7072-2
Martin Kaymer7172-1
Justin Rose7271-1
Phil Mickelson7373+2
Tiger Woods7575+6
Sean O'Donnell's Predictions


Day 3

The tournament becomes a little more difficult to predict on the weekend due to the uncertainty of tee times. Although, this may not matter, as an 80 percent chance of rain could thwart any low scores throughout the duration of Saturday's play.

Accuracy and short-game ability will be heavily tested for the remaining field during conditions like these. This could bode well for Mickelson, a short-game magician:

Expect to see Open Championship veterans rise to the challenge while inexperienced players falter.

We should see some separation on the leaderboard here.

Day 3 Predictions
PlayerR1R2R3To Par
Henrik Stenson687170-7
Rory McIlroy707169-6
Adam Scott707269-5
Martin Kaymer717271-2
Justin Rose727172-1
Phil Mickelson737369-1
Tiger Woods7575CUTCUT
Sean O'Donnell's Predictions


Day 4

It all comes down to this.

Sunday could provide a chance of lower scoring, as winds remain under 10 mph and the chance of rain decreases slightly.

Earlier tee times should have the advantage here, and we can expect to see players making some big runs to contest with the leaders.

This is also the day in which many players can collapse. Whether it's a lack a mental focus, overthinking course strategy or risking too much to make up strokes, there will be some higher scores on Sunday as well.

PGA Tour gives a great look at what players will endure:

Here's a look at the tournament's predicted final leaderboard.

Day 4 Predictions
PlayerR1R2R3R4To ParFinish
Henrik Stenson68717069-101
Adam Scott70726968-92
Rory McIlroy70716973-5T5
Martin Kaymer71727169-5T5
Justin Rose72717270-3T8
Phil Mickelson73736973E14
Sean O'Donnell's Predictions


Weather forecasts current as of 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday.


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