(Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Another factor is scheduling (head-to head leagues). How many times have you had a horrendous scoring week but won your matchup because your opponent was a weaker team? How many times have you lost a matchup when your quarterback threw five-TD passes and had over 400-yards passing? It happens, and there is nothing you can do to prevent it.
For the most part, your FFL draft is a crap shoot.
Last season’s mock draft will more than prove my point. If I gave you the first 10 picks in the draft, according to the experts at Fantasy Football Guide you would’ve probably selected the following players in no specific order:
Tomlinson, Peterson, Westbrook, S. Jackson, J. Addai, M. Lynch, L. Johnson, Brady, Portis, and Gore.
Only Peterson, Westbrook, and Portis came close to matching FFL owner’s expectations, and still fell short of their potential.
Now, with all that said, you can most certainly create your own luck by preparing for the season, but there are no guarantees. Following injuries and picking up key free agents in some way puts a little control in your hands.
Looking at the schedule to see who your key players’ defensive opponents are in the playoffs can help as well. But no matter how much an FFL owner thinks he is prepared, you can’t control the luck factor. Just ask the Tom Brady owners who selected Derek Anderson as their back-up QB.
I will leave you with this, as you walk in to the local Barnes and Noble to read through the numerous issues of FFL magazines before deciding which one to use as your draft day bible. Unless it was published by Nostradamus, it holds the same value and insight as your hand-written cheat sheet.
Success in FFL comes with luck and reacting quickly to change (free agents and injuries).















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