UFC 100: Preview and Predictions

(Photo by Peter Kramer/Getty Images)

Champ Georges St. Pierre vs. Thiago Alves (for welterweight title)

I’ve already done an article for this fight, so I’ll spare you of rewriting it on here.  For me, the fight is as easy as this. Who can impose who’s will on the each other. 

If GSP can take the fight to the ground he has to keep it there and ground and pound his way to a win. If he doesn’t then I can see Alves out pointing him standing. 

If it gets past round three then its GSP’s to win, but for the first time ever GSP will have a faster starter in front of him, who has the hand and legs speed to prevent him from just going out there and shooting. 

The line has Alves at +260 which translate to be about 30 percent, which I feel is low for the weapons that Alves has. For the money, I’d take a small wager on it, but straight up I still think GSP should win this. Georges St. Pierre wins and is still Welterweight Champion via Unanimous Decision.

Champ Brock Lesnar vs. Interim Champ Frank Mir (heavyweight title unification)

This rematch has been on the UFC hype machine for what feels likes six months and its getting better and better the closer it comes. I think that there is a mutual respect as fighters but I think they personally dislike each other. 

Both feel that they are the rightful owners of the title, and both have something to prove.

Love him or hate him Brock Lesnar is the prototype heavyweight of the future. He can cut to 265, weigh in on fight night at over 280 and not have any ill effect from it. He is powerful, quick and can take a punch. He may not have deserved the title shot, but he got it and took a legend out in the process. 

Frank Mir is a decorated BJJ practitioner, who has been polishing his standup and looked very good in his recent win over Nogueria. He is also a very big heavyweight and can move quickly in the Octagon. 

Mir’s biggest question mark is and has always been his cardio. He at times has looked sluggish and out of shape in some of his fights, and although I doubt he will come in looking bad, I wonder if he can go all five rounds.

For Mir to win he has to end it early with his standup, because if the first fight is any indication, Brock will take Mir down and pound on him relentlessly. I know many will feel as though Mir can get another sub, but If you think that Brock hasn't been studying submission defense since the first fight you are sadly mistaken. 

I highly doubt that Brock will leave a leg or arm out there for Mir's taking. I can also see Brock trying to take his time and get the fight to the later rounds which I think will be to his advantage. Mir’s stand up will be better but I don’t think it will matter. 

Brock’s upper body is structured for the punishment with his massive neck and shoulders and square head (look at Cro Cop’s head and how it slims down at the chin giving him a point and how Brock’s doesn’t do that, Cro Cop’s head is not built for punishment).

Mir is the underdog in this fight and you’d have to be an uber fan to not understand why, and for my money I wouldn’t bet on him.  Brock Lesnar wins and is unified Heavyweight Champion via Fourth round TKO.

FOTN—GSP vs. Alves

SOTN—Yoshihiro Akiyama

KOTN—CB Dollaway

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