2014 MLB All-Star Game Final Vote: Odds of Every Candidate Winning a Spot

Karl BuscheckContributor IIIJuly 6, 2014

2014 MLB All-Star Game Final Vote: Odds of Every Candidate Winning a Spot

0 of 10

    Brian Kersey/Getty Images

    Unsurprisingly, the 2014 MLB All-Star Game Final Vote ballots are loaded with players who deserve a trip to Target Field in Minnesota.

    The lists of the final five for the American League and National League, respectively, are courtesy of MLB.com.

    AL:

    • Dallas Keuchel, SP, Houston Astros
    • Corey Kluber, SP, Cleveland Indians
    • Rick Porcello, SP, Detroit Tigers
    • Garrett Richards, SP, Los Angeles Angels
    • Chris Sale, SP, Chicago White Sox

    NL:

    • Casey McGehee, 3B, Miami Marlins
    • Justin Morneau, 1B, Colorado Rockies
    • Anthony Rendon, 3B, Washington Nationals
    • Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Chicago Cubs
    • Justin Upton, LF, Atlanta Braves

    The Final Vote ballot will run through Thursday, July 10, at 4 p.m. ET, at which point the winners will be announced. Fans can cast their votes for their selections via MLB.com, text message and Twitter. The Twitter portion of the balloting will only be available for the final six hours (10 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET on Thursday). Details for how to vote can be found on MLB.com.

    What follows are the odds of every candidate winning a spot. Now, let's see who has the best chances of earning an All-Star nod.

Dallas Keuchel, SP, Houston Astros

1 of 10

    Phelan M. Ebenhack/Associated Press

    His Case to Win

    Dallas Keuchel is the first of five starters to hit the AL Final Vote ballot.

    As his manager, Bob Porter, explained via Brian McTaggart of MLB.com, the left-hander "certainly deserves an All-Star nod." For that to happen, Keuchel will definitely need some help. The 26-year-old owns a 8-5 record with a 3.06 ERA and has already piled up three complete games.

    However, the Houston Astros relatively low profile around baseball won't help his case.

     

    Odds of Winning

    9-1 (10 percent)

Corey Kluber, SP, Cleveland Indians

2 of 10

    Tony Dejak/Associated Press

    His Case to Win

    Corey Kluber has been racking up strikeouts for the Cleveland Indians in 2014. 

    His 137 punch-outs rank fourth in the AL. The only pitchers ahead of him are David Price, Felix Hernandez and Max Scherzer, who are all already on the All-Star staff. The Tribe's ace also checks in with a 2.86 ERA, which is the eighth-best mark in the league. 

     

    Odds of Winning

    9-1 (10 percent)

Rick Porcello, SP, Detroit Tigers

3 of 10

    Tony Gutierrez/Associated Press

    His Case to Win

    Rick Porcello has made a late push to try to earn an All-Star spot.

    The right-hander threw back-to-back complete-game shutouts on June 26 and July 1 against the Texas Rangers and the Oakland Athletics. However, in his most recent outing on July 6, the Tampa Bay Rays tagged Porcello for seven runs.

    The 25-year-old, who is looking to become a first-time All-Star, is also second in the AL with 11 wins.

     

    Odds of Winning

    4-1 (20 percent)

Garrett Richards, SP, Los Angeles Angels

4 of 10

    Uncredited/Associated Press

    His Case to Win

    Garrett Richards was one of two pitchers whom ESPN's Buster Olney dubbed as the "biggest shockers" as far as All-Star exclusions are concerned.

    It's easy enough to see why. Richards has been dealing for the Los Angeles Angels in the first half. The right-hander has a 2.71 ERA, which is the sixth best in the AL and lower than that of All-Star Jon Lester. The 26-year-old also has 10 wins, which is tied for the third most in the league.

     

    Odds of Winning

    4-1 (20 percent)

Chris Sale, SP, Chicago White Sox

5 of 10

    Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

    His Case to Win

    Along with Garrett Richards, Chris Sale was the pitcher whom ESPN's Buster Olney described as one of the "biggest shockers" to be left off the AL pitching staff.

    It's difficult to comprehend why the left-hander hasn't been included on the roster. The only argument against Sale is that he missed time in the first half while on the disabled list. In 13 starts, the 25-year-old has posted a 2.13 ERA, which would be the third-lowest mark in the AL if he qualified for the league leaders.

     

    Odds of Winning

    1.5-1 (40 percent)

Casey McGehee, 3B, Miami Marlins

6 of 10

    Rick Yeatts/Getty Images

    His Case to Win

    Casey McGehee hasn't thought too much about earning a trip to Target Field for the Midsummer Classic, as he explained via Christina De Nicola of Fox Sports Florida:

    "I just do my job. ... I'm not too concerned about that."

    Quietly, McGehee has been doing an impressive job for the Miami Marlins in 2014. The third baseman has a .320 average, which is fifth best in the NL. The right-handed hitter has also driven in 53 runs.

    Ultimately, the lack of buzz surrounding the journeyman will likely play against McGehee during the Final Vote.

     

    Odds of Winning

    9-1 (10 percent)

Justin Morneau, 1B, Colorado Rockies

7 of 10

    Doug Pensinger/Getty Images

    His Case to Win

    Suffice it to say that the field at first base in the NL is extremely crowded.

    Justin Morneau has posted a .316 average with 13 home runs and an .866 OPS for the Colorado Rockies but finds himself on the outside looking in—at least for now.

    Earning the final spot on the NL roster would be extra special for Morneau, as he spent 11 seasons playing for the host Minnesota Twins.

     

    Odds of Winning

    1.5-1 (40 percent)

Anthony Rendon, 3B, Washington Nationals

8 of 10

    Greg Fiume/Getty Images

    His Case to Win

    Anthony Rendon faced a lot of competition for an All-Star spot at third base. Now, he'll need the fans to get him to Minnesota.

    Rendon's 12 home runs rank as the third most in the NL. The 24-year-old has also been on a tear as the All-Star break approaches. In his last 10 games, Rendon is hitting .350.

     

    Odds of Winning

    9-1 (10 percent)

Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Chicago Cubs

9 of 10

    Elise Amendola/Associated Press

    His Case to Win

    Along with Justin Morneau, Anthony Rizzo is one of a number of deserving first basemen who have been left off the All-Star roster.

    Having gone yard 17 times already, Rizzo leads all players at his position in the NL in that category. The Chicago Cubs standout has also put up a .487 slugging percentage and a .871 OPS. Still, it will be a challenge for Rizzo to claim the final roster spot—especially with Morneau on the ballot as well.

     

    Odds of Winning

    4-1 (20 percent)

Justin Upton, LF, Atlanta Braves

10 of 10

    H. RUMPH JR/Associated Press

    His Case to Win

    After landing on the Final Vote ballot, Justin Upton has the chance to make his third All-Star appearance.

    The left-fielder has certainly provided the Atlanta Braves with plenty of power in 2014. His 17 home runs rank third among all NL outfielders. Plus, his .503 slugging percentage is the fifth-highest mark in the league for outfielders.

     

    Odds of Winning

    4-1 (20 percent)

     

    Note: All stats courtesy of MLB.com.

    If you want to talk baseball, find me on Twitter @KarlBuscheck.