David Becker/Associated Press
Truthfully, there is value with both fighters in the main event. It comes down to who you think will win.
Machida is chasing history. With a victory, he will join BJ Penn and Randy Couture as the only multi-division champions in UFC history. He is certainly capable of pulling out the win, as he has looked exceptional since dropping to 185 pounds.
However, I still side with the champion.
This is the man who defeated the greatest of all time, Anderson Silva, in back-to-back fights. While some may degrade his performances by the way in which he won, he walked out with the title belt both times. He is a quality wrestler with knockout power.
Weidman has never been five rounds, but Machida has. That could also play a factor in this fight, but there is no reason to believe Weidman cannot go 25 minutes. His grappling game should do enough to sway the judges if he is unable to stop Machida before the final bell.
This is a close fight, and there isn't a wrong play here, so just be modest with your bet.
The Play: A modest play on the champion.
Complete-event parlay: Bush, Zachrich, Roop, Camozzi, Alcantara, Faber, Brimage, Hall, Mitrione, Rousey, Machida
Full-event parlays are extremely difficult to pull off, but they can make the event a lot of fun to watch if you get off to a quick start. With extremely large favorites in Hall and Rousey, you can make up for it by taking a few of the live underdogs. Steep odds, but it can often provide you with a deeper involvement from the first fight to the last.