Stock Up, Stock Down for the Los Angeles Dodgers' Top 10 Prospects for Week 13
The Los Angeles Dodgers farm system has followed a remarkably similar pattern all year: The relievers at the back end of this list have been inconsistent, the starters in the middle have showed flashes of excellence but have otherwise been average, and the three elite prospects have been great.
With Joc Pederson’s injury, that pattern has been broken, and the Dodgers receive their first truly bad news surrounding the top three. And while the injury is not expected to be serious, it is certainly not a development the Dodgers will welcome.
Notes: All statistics courtesy of MiLB.com unless otherwise indicated. All statistics updated through June 28 unless otherwise indicated. Prospect list courtesy of MLB.com. Nos. 8 and 9 Ross Stripling and Onelki Garcia are injured, so Nos. 11 and 12 Jose Dominguez and Matt Magill will take their place.
10. Matt Magill, RHP
Last week’s stats: 3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 3 K, 4 BB
Magill’s time in the bullpen is not proving to be a success. The hope was clearly—as it normally is—that removing the necessity of turning over a lineup would allow the righty to use only his best pitches and not have to worry about pacing himself.
That, however, has not happened. Instead, we have seen his strikeout-to-walk ratio plummet: As a starter, it was a subpar 35-to-22. As a reliever, though, he has walked more batters than he has struck out (14 versus 12).
2014 stats: 56.2 IP, 4.92 ERA, 47 K, 37 BB
9. Jose Dominguez, RHP
Last week’s stats: 1.2 IP, 1 R, 2 K, 3 BB
Despite a rocky week, Dominguez has had a stretch of recent dominance: His earned run allowed on June 27 against Reno was the first since a disastrous performance on May 12. This is even more impressive given that he plays in a home park known for thin air and an extreme offensive environment. Dominguez’s performance has definitely kept him in contention for a call-up.
2014 stats: 6.1 IP, 11.37 ERA, 12 K, 6 BB (majors); 23 IP, 3.91 ERA, 26 K, 15 BB (Triple-A)
8. Pedro Baez, RHP
Last week’s stats: 3 IP, 0 R, 5 K, 0 BB
Pedro Baez has settled in nicely after he allowed a run in four consecutive outings between June 8 and June 15, and his three appearances in the last seven days featured a total of one baserunner allowed (a hit).
He made a short, ill-fated appearance in the big leagues that will likely skew opinion against him, but his minor league performance this year has been quite good. He has not allowed a walk in two weeks, and he is striking out more than a batter per inning. It is numbers like those that prompt a promotion to the majors when the Dodgers need a relief pitcher.
2014 stats: 19.1 IP, 2.79 ERA, 18 K, 9 BB (Double-A); 12 IP, 3.00 ERA, 14 K, 3 BB (Triple-A)
7. Tom Windle, LHP
Last week’s stats: 5.0 IP, 3 R, 3 K, 0 BB
Since Tom Windle’s start this week was a standard average performance, I will take this spot to link to a recent scouting report from Baseball Prospectus’ Chris Rodriguez (subscription required).
Without giving away any of the details that everyone should check out for himself, I can say that Rodriguez believes Windle has intriguing stuff but needs to improve his command to remain in the rotation long term.
2014 stats: 78.2 IP, 3.89 ERA, 70 K, 22 BB
6. Chris Reed, LHP
Last week’s stats: 13 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 8 K, 6 BB
Chris Reed allowed only two runs in 13 innings, but it was not exactly a stellar week for the lefty. He continues to prove unable to harness his command, which was the concern coming into the season.
All of this is despite the fact that he has been difficult to hit: In 96 innings, Reed has allowed just 74 hits. But his 39 walks means that his 1.17 WHIP is not as elite as his stuff might indicate it should be.
2014 stats: 96 IP, 3.25 ERA, 91 K, 39 BB
5. Chris Anderson, RHP
Last week’s stats: 6.2 IP, 4 R (1 ER), 5 K, 4 BB
Chris Anderson’s week was bad, and it is a testament to the danger of scouting with ERA. His start on June 26 was fine, but his relief outing on June 21 was disastrous, and the three unearned runs he allowed probably don’t even do it justice. He got just two outs but walked three and gave up a hit.
To be fair to him, he recovered nicely in his start, but he wasn’t stellar. He did not strike out a ton of batters (only four), and he continued a run of less-than-ideal performances that dates all the way back to April.
2014 stats: 71 IP, 4.82 ERA, 77 K, 37 BB
4. Zach Lee, RHP
Last week’s stats: 4.0 IP, 6 R, 1 K, 4 BB
Zach Lee had a bad game, and it comes on the heels of two other low-strikeout performances. A look at his game log shows an uptick in strikeouts from mid-May to early June, but he has dropped back down recently.
For someone whom fans had high hopes for in the preseason, Lee sure has struggled. He has demonstrated a total inability to induce swings-and-misses, and his control hasn’t been elite enough to make up for that.
2014 stats: 87 IP, 4.86 ERA, 61 K, 29 BB
3. Julio Urias, LHP
Last week’s stats: 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 5 BB
The young lefty’s seven innings came across two different outings, so he clearly remains on an innings limit. This week, he was fine but not as spectacular as we may have come to expect in recent weeks.
That is not to say, though, that we should in any way be worried about the teenager. Julio Urias remains a top prospect, and his season-long numbers reflect that: He has allowed just 39 hits in nearly 50 innings despite playing in an offensive environment in the Cal League.
2014 stats: 49.2 IP, 3.44 ERA, 47 K, 18 BB
2. Joc Pederson, CF
Last week’s stats: 10 AB, 2 H, 0 2B, 0 HR, 1 SB
For the first time this year, there is negative news to report for the Dodgers outfielder. He separated his right shoulder, but according to Ken Gurnick of MLB.com, “Don Mattingly...said he was told it wasn’t anything major.” Assuming that is the case, this will put a slight damper on the prospect’s hopes of playing in the big leagues soon—although the composition of the big league roster was doing that just fine.
2014 stats: .319/.437/.568, 11 2B, 17 HR, 20 SB
1. Corey Seager, SS
Last week’s stats: 32 AB, 11 H, 5 2B, 2 HR, 0 SB
Corey Seager had a monstrous week to underline his placement on the Cal League All-Star team, as he demonstrated the full scope of his offensive talents: patience, contact and power. He is likely forcing his way into an inevitable promotion to Double-A Chattanooga, and that honor should come sooner rather than later.
At this point in the season—and given his year-long performance—there isn’t much left to say regarding the young infielder’s dominance of High-A.
2014 stats: .347/.401/.611, 30 2B, 14 HR, 5 SB