2014 World Cup table odds aren't infallible.
Ask Italy. It entered the tournament favored to win Group D, according to Odds Shark. It also entered Day 13 favored against Uruguay.
But thanks to Diego Godin's go-ahead goal in the 81st minute of the match, not only did Italy lose to Uruguay 1-0, but it was eliminated from knockout-round contention. Uruguay will move on from Group D after enduring a physical battle that included biting and flying kicks to the head.
Costa Rica also will move on from Group D. It had already clinched a spot in the knockout round prior to Tuesday, but its 0-0 draw with England clinched the first seed.
Colombia had already clinched too, but that didn't hold it back from embarrassing Japan by the score of 4-1. Colombia only attempted four shots on goal in the match. It just scored on every single one.
Greece vs. Ivory Coast wasn't nearly as lopsided. The score was tied 1-1 in the 90th minute. The winner would advance to the knockout round.
And Greece's Georgios Samaras showed off his clutch gene, nailing a game-winning penalty kick in the 93rd to keep his team alive. This disappointed fans who wanted Ivory Coast to win, just to see its goalie Boubacar Barry do this again.
Here are updated group standings and fallible odds after Day 13.
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Switzerland vs. Honduras
Odds: 2-5 Switzerland, 13-2 Honduras, 333-100 Draw
Switzerland is on the outside looking in at the knockout round, but needing points in its final group-stage match, it's presented with the perfect matchup. Honduras has scored just one goal so far in the World Cup.
France vs. Ecuador
Odds: 50-59 France, 12-5 Ecuador, 3-1 Draw
Technically, France hasn't clinched a spot in the knockout round yet, but advancing is inevitable with its goal-differential lead of six over Ecuador. Ecuador has Switzerland and even Honduras breathing down its neck, so a win could be necessary.
Argentina vs. Nigeria
Odds: 57-163 Argentina, 13-2 Nigeria, 11-4 Draw
Nigeria will advance to the knockout round in the event of a draw. But given that a Nigeria win would earn the first seed, Argentina is unlikely to rest its starters.
Iran vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
Odds: 50-91 Bosnia and Herzegovina, 9-2 Iran, 12-5 Draw
Iran needs a lot to happen to advance, including a victory and a Nigeria loss. Those aren't improbable, though, considering Argentina hasn't lost and Bosnia and Herzegovina hasn't won.
Ghana vs. Portugal
Odds: 100-133 Portugal, 13-4 Ghana, 13-5 Draw
No spot in Group D is secure. Ghana and Portugal both need a win and tiebreaker help, essentially in the form of a Germany blowout of the United States.
Germany vs. USA
Odds: 1-4 Germany, 15-2 USA, 17-10 Draw
Despite its win over Ghana and near win over Portugal, the U.S. remains a huge underdog against powerhouse Germany. With a win or draw, either team will advance to the knockout round, while a loss will put the loser at risk of elimination.
Russia vs. Algeria
Odds: 113-174 Russia, 7-2 Algeria, 12-5 Draw
Algeria is ahead in the standings, but it's not favored to advance. If Russia takes care of business and records its first 2014 World Cup victory, South Korea just can't dominate Belgium.
Belgium vs. South Korea
Odds: 50-91 Belgium, 4-1 South Korea, 29-10 Draw
Belgium, having clinched a spot in the knockout round, can rest its starters, but then Algeria could steal the first seed with a win. South Korea is a tad more desperate, though; it needs a win, or this will be its last match of the tournament.
Chile vs. Brazil
Odds: 25-36 Brazil, 9-2 Chile, 151-50 Draw
Chile couldn't have gotten much worse of a matchup in the knockout round, needing to face the favorites to win it all. It can't feel too confident after getting shutout by Netherlands as Brazil routed Cameroon.
Mexico vs. Netherlands
Odds: 11-10 Netherlands, 51-20 Mexico, 49-20 Draw
This could be one of the best matches of the entire World Cup: Arguably the top offense in Netherlands and the top defense in Mexico will face off. Something has to give, and oddsmakers think it'll be Guillermo Ochoa.
*All odds are according to Odds Shark.
David Daniels is a columnist at Bleacher Report. He tweets, too.
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