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NBA Draft Expert's Notebook: Breaking Down Potential Trades on Draft Night

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NBA Draft Expert's Notebook: Breaking Down Potential Trades on Draft Night
David RichardUSA Today

This is that time of year when trade rumors come flying at you left and right. Some are probably true, others aren't—but they're out there.  

And all of the ones we've heard so far at least sound somewhat plausible.

Let's tackle each of the major rumored proposals that are floating around and break down their pros and cons.

Rumored Proposal
Cleveland Cavaliers Receive: No. 5 Pick No. 23 Pick Derrick Favors Alec Burks
Utah Jazz Receive: No. 1 Pick Jarrett Jack

Joe Kotoch, ProBasketballDraft.com; Sam Amico, Fox Sports; and Spencer Checketts, 1280 The Zone

ProBasketballDraft.com's Joe Kotoch was the first to report of a possible trade proposal between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Utah Jazz:

This rumor then evolved into Derrick Favors, Alec Burks, No. 5 and No. 23 for No. 1 and Jarrett Jack, per Sam Amico for Fox Sports:

This offer is a pretty wild and bold one by the Jazz if it's legitimate. 

They'd essentially be willing to give up four assets with value for the top pick in the draft, only with Embiid hurt, the value of that No. 1 pick has decreased. 

The target for the Jazz would be either Wiggins or Parker. But to get one of them, it could mean giving up untapped talent in Favors, 22 years old, and Burks, also 22—plus the No. 5 pick, which could either be Vonleh, Randle, Gordon or Marcus Smart, and the No. 23 pick, which is essentially just a cherry on top.

That's a lot for Parker or Wiggins, who will both enter the league with questions to answer. 

If you're the Cavaliers, this has to be something you consider, especially if Embiid remains the apple of your eye. Cleveland was likely going with Embiid at No. 1 before he suffered a foot injury—now, it's possible it can get him at No. 5, along with Favors, Burks and another first-round pick. 

This deal will likely come down to just how much the Cavaliers think of Parker and Wiggins. If they truly believe these are future franchise players, then the choice is simple—sit tight at No. 1. 

But if Cleveland has any doubt or skepticism regarding its projections, whether it's questioning Wiggins' killer instinct or Parker's defensive ability, moving down to No. 5 could be the wise move to make. 

If you're Utah, you're putting all your stock into and plenty of pressure on whoever you take at No. 1. Even if it's just Favors and No. 5 for Parker, you're still looking at holes and a lack of upside in the lineup.

But if the Jazz consider Parker or Wiggins as that must-have prospect, then quite frankly, it's tough to blame them for making this deal—because Favors and Burks aren't must-have cornerstones.

Still, this would be a major risk-reward play for the Jazz. They'd be blatantly overpaying on potential, which doesn't offer certainty.  

Sue Ogrocki/Associated Press

Marc Stein reported the Knicks' interest in trading for a first-round pick while using Iman Shumpert as bait, later mentioning the Thunder as a potential link, considering these teams talked possible trades at February's deadline.

It's been three years and we haven't seen much progression from "Shump," who the Knicks will eventually have to overpay for if they want to keep him for the long term. 

Shumpert is best suited in a role where he can focus strictly on defense, hitting open shots and finishing plays opportunistically. In New York, the Knicks need him to score, and that's just not his game at the NBA level. He can't be your No. 3 offensive option. 

If I'm a playoff team drafting in the 20-30 range—a team that already has scorers—I'm certainly open to dealing my pick for Shumpert, a guy who can come in right away and contribute defensively. 

Rumored Proposal
New York Knicks Receive: No. 21 Pick or No. 29 Pick
Oklahoma City Thunder Receive: Iman Shumpert

Marc Stein, ESPN

For the Thunder, the question is whether or not to hold firm on keeping No. 21. But if the Knicks play the No. 21-or-nothing game, I still think it's worth doing if you're Oklahoma City, which is likely to lose Thabo Sefolosha in free agency. Defensively, a backcourt of Russell Westbrook and Shumpert could be pretty explosive and mean.

If I'm the Knicks, I pull the trigger since Shumpert is quickly losing value in New York. Now is the time to flip him for a pick in a rock-solid draft.

Nathaniel S. Butler/Getty Images

Even if P.J. Hairston and Tyler Ennis, two rumored targets for the Knicks, per CBS Sports' Ken Berger, are off the board, there is still a valuable asset to be had in the mid-to-late first round. Don't forget the Knicks got Tim Hardaway Jr. at No. 24 in an awful draft last year. 

Shabazz Napier, Jordan Adams, Mitch McGary, Jordan Clarkson and Kyle Anderson are all guys New York could target if Ennis and Hairston were off the board in the 20s.  

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