Two out of the eight teams with the worst odds to win the World Cup can advance to the knockout round on Day 13 of the 2014 World Cup.
Greece entered the tournament with 360-1 to triumph and Costa Rica 5000-1, according to Odds Shark. While Greece needs to win on Tuesday and get help from Colombia, Costa Rica is already guaranteed to play beyond the group stage.
Here's how to watch these teams and more on Day 13, as well as predictions on how they'll fare and updated standings.
|12 p.m.||Italy vs. Uruguay||ESPN||2-2, Draw|
|12 p.m.||Costa Rica vs. England||ESPN2||2-1, Costa Rica|
|4 p.m.||Japan vs. Colombia||ESPN||2-0, Colombia|
|4 p.m.||Greece vs. Ivory Coast||ESPN2||1-0, Ivory Coast|
Italy vs. Uruguay
Odds: 6-5 Italy, 19-10 Uruguay, 9-4 Draw
Uruguay controls its own destiny. However, so does Italy. And because Italy leads in point differential, Uruguay must win to advance.
If Uruguay pulls off the upset, Luis Suarez will have done something amazing again.
While Mario Balotelli made his presence felt with a game-winning header against England, it's Suarez who enters this showdown the striker to watch. He put Uruguay on his back against England, scoring both of its goals in a 2-1 victory. But luckily for Italy, it may not have the best player, but it has the best team.
Costa Rica vs. England
Odds: 33-100 England, 11-2 Costa Rica, 13-5 Draw
Don't watch this match if you like high stakes. Both teams already clinched a spot following the group stage—Costa Rica in the knockout round and England on its couch.
Costa Rica technically hasn't won Group D yet, though. It's improbable, but Italy and Uruguay could better Costa Rica in goal differential with a blowout. But given that Costa Rica probably isn't worried about this, it could rest its starters.
Either way, if England could only score a goal a game when its World Cup dreams were on the line, it won't find its stride with less motivation.
Japan vs. Colombia
Odds: 100-143 Colombia, 13-4 Japan, 13-5 Draw
Only one other team through just two games has a higher goal differential than Colombia. But Japan can smile about the fact that Colombia has already locked up Group C (Colombia, like Costa Rica, could lose the first seed if a miracle happens, but it won't).
This makes resting starters a possibility for Colombia. Of course, these are national teams. Colombia's substitutes are pretty freaking talented, too.
Japan will compete due to the circumstances. But it's difficult to imagine a team that couldn't score against Greece topping Colombia.
Greece vs. Ivory Coast
Odds: 6-5 Ivory Coast, 9-5 Greece, 13-5 Draw
If Ivory Coast wins, it's in. If it doesn't, things get complicated.
In the event of a draw, Ivory Coast would advance if Japan loses to or ties Colombia. If Greece wins, it would advance if Japan loses, or if Japan ties and Greece's win is by three goals, or if Japan ties and Greece's win is by two goals, but it...eventually wins a tie-breaker.
Ivory Coast should spare the globe the confusion, though. Greece has yet to score in the World Cup. And Ivory Coast, unlike Greece, competed admirably with Colombia.
|4||Bosnia and Herzegovina||0||-2||2||0||0||2||1||3|
David Daniels is a columnist at Bleacher Report. He tweets, too.