Alabama Fans Have No Reason to Fear the Ole Miss Game in 2009

CrimsonTusks.com by Senior Analyst Written on July 01, 2009
DALLAS - JANUARY 02:  Brandon Bolden #34 of the Mississippi Rebels during play against the Texas Tech Red Raiders during the AT&T Cotton Bowl on January 2, 2009 at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
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That's where the love is coming from for reasons we briefly discussed earlier.

Alabama fans, here is where it doesn't get any prettier for the Rebel faithful.

Sure, the final score of last years game in Tuscaloosa was close; a 24-20 Alabama victory.

Any fan of the SEC will readily admit, if they chose to look at last year realistically, that Bama started off strong in the first half and then hit a lull in the second half of some of their games last year.

It was a trend that continued until mid-October when they faced Tennessee.

In fact, it was almost the biggest dichotomy found in collegiate sports last year—a true Jekyll and Hyde. A great example of how this game has two halves.

Alabama jumped out to a 24-3 lead by the half, and allowed Ole Miss back in the ball game. The last scoring drive to put Ole Miss back in the ball game was one handed to the Rebels on a silver platter due to an interception thrown deep in Bama territory.

But, those are the breaks of the game.

This season, I don't see Ole Miss any more than a one dimensional team when they face the Tide in Oxford.

Last year, they had success (to the tune of 158 net yards rushing) against the Alabama defense. Yet, in that statistic there is a huge caveat; 118 of those rushing yards came over the left tackle.

Twenty-five of those rushing yards came from draw plays, specifically from Jevan Snead in the form of QB draws. (OH, by the way, those draw plays also came after Terrance Cody left the game with his knee injury.)

This also comes back to "who." In this case, who isn't on the offensive line at Ole Miss.

The success Ole Miss enjoyed in that game running the ball came behind left tackle Michael Oher and left guard Darryl Harris—neither of the two will be on the field for the Rebels this fall.

Should I go into detail on the returning players on defense for the Tide this fall? I won't, but I'm sure you understand the rhetorical question.

 

Jevan Snead

If Alabama can, and you can see why I suspect they will, make Ole Miss a one dimensional offensive team this game rides on the shoulders of Jevan Snead.

Tim Brando, CBS's football analyst and commentator, when discussing last years Bama vs Ole Miss game said,

Ole Miss would have been better last year if they had a running game. Snead would have been better, as in more consistent, if he had a running game to take the pressure off of him.

"Tim, the Ole Miss rushing attack won't be as good against Alabama this fall as it was last fall."

John Jerry, the Rebel right tackle, does return. His compadre, right guard Maurice Miller, isn't even listed on their depth chart.

And, as we just discussed, we see the damage success results the Ole Miss running attack had behind the right side of their line.

Let's not forget the vaunted "Wild Rebel formation."  The same formation that had zero success against the Bama rush defense last season.

Snead completed just over 50 percent of his passes against Alabama last year with two interceptions. While that was a few percentage points lower than his season average, the losses along his offensive line don't bode well for a better showing in 2009.

 

To Me, All This Means

I don't have a problem admitting I was high on Ole Miss last year.

I saw a team that could beat Auburn.

I saw a team that could challenge LSU.

I suspected it was a team that would give Bama a run for their money as well.

This year, that doesn't change a lot.

The Rebels can challenge LSU. Just as LSU's secondary is going to challenge Snead.

The Rebels could challenge Alabama for the SECW title. But, without the ability to run the ball with any degree of success I see a Nutt coached team failing to live up to fans' and media members' expectations.

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written on July 01, 2009 Opinion

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