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We get it. Michael Turner had a huge season last year. So did Drew Brees, DeAngelo Williams, and a lot of other guys.
But before you go drafting either of these guys No. 1 overall over the "real" best running back—Adrian Peterson—maybe you should consider the unlikeliness of them repeating on their recent success.
Read on to see five guys who you may want to stay away from, if for no better reason than being disappointed.
In this moment, it's very arguable that Brees is the best fantasy quarterback available.
However, that doesn't mean a repeat of 34 touchdowns and over 5,000 yards is in order.
Brees has an excellent offensive system, good coaching, an improving defense backing him, and a slew of weapons.
But back-to-back 5,000 yard and 30+ touchdown seasons? Come on.
You can still expect over 4,000 and at least 25 touchdowns, simply because he's Drew Brees and plays in a high-octane offense.
But with the Saints leaning more on the run with Pierre Thomas, it wouldn't be a shock to see his stats drop a bit.
2007 is still leaving people with goosebumps.
Brady's record-breaking season of nearly 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns has left everyone salivating, and not even a huge knee injury and a year away from football can scare us off.
Well, it kinda should.
If it were anyone else, we'd be running in the opposite direction, looking deep into our cheat sheets for another viable option at quarterback.
Then again, it is indeed Tom Brady.
There's no doubting Michael Turner's talent. Not much needs to be said in his favor after falling one yard shy of 1,700 rushing yards last season on top of rushing for 17 scores.
He's a beast.
But can we really expect the same numbers?
With a more comfortable Matt Ryan and a fantastic addition in Tony Gonzalez, probably not.
The passing game will improve, taking pressure off the rush offense and, in turn, should lessen Turner's touches.
He should still crack 1,400 yards and 10 touchdowns. Just don't draft him with "repeat" expectations.
See, even he knows it.
All that hard work, and he's still going to lose carries to Jonathan Stewart next season.
Let's be honest, there's nothing Williams' 18 touchdowns can do about it.
Carolina is running a two-back system, and that's that.
Williams (and Stewart) should crack 1,000 yards next season, with Williams still possibly breaking 1,300.
However, Stewart is more apt to get the goal-line carries, so a drop to 8-10 scores is very likely for Williams.
I know T.O. is this athletic, physical freak that no corner can stop, and no safety wants to.
But this isn't 1999. This isn't Philadelphia, San Francisco, or Dallas.
And this guy is 36.
Owens is in a new system (a losing one, at that) and has Trent Edwards throwing him the ball. Owens is good enough to get 1,000 yards and close to 10 scores on his own, but he's not as nimble footed as he used to be.
You might want to take a pass, if you can.
If you liked this, check out the next slideshow:
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