If Day 4 of the 2014 World Cup is as thrilling as the previous two days, a favorite will fall.
On Thursday, Spain lost to the Netherlands 5-1. Going into the match, Spain had the fourth-highest odds to win the World Cup, according to Odds Shark. On Friday, Costa Rica beat Uruguay by the score of 3-1. Costa Rica had the worst odds to win the World Cup and wasn't expected to win a match.
On Sunday, France and Argentina should be on upset alert.
Here are the updated standings after Day 3 as well as the Day 4 schedule.
|12 p.m.||Switzerland vs. Ecuador||ABC||2-2|
|3 p.m.||France vs. Honduras||ABC||3-0|
|6 p.m.||Argentina vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina||ESPN||3-1|
Switzerland vs. Ecuador
Switzerland 6/5 to win, Ecuador 287-100 to win, 219-100 for a draw
Unless another underdog goes crazy like the Netherlands and Costa Rica did, this will be the match of the day.
While every match in the group stage is just as valuable as the next, this one has the greatest odds to decide which teams will represent Group E in the knockout round. France is a heavy favorite to advance and Honduras is a heavy favorite to lose every game, leaving Switzerland and Ecuador to battle for the final spot.
Expect a draw because the stakes are so high. But if there's a winner, it's almost guaranteed to advance.
France vs. Honduras
France 49-169 to win, Honduras 1341-100 to win, 43-10 for a draw
Honduras has the exact same odds to win the World Cup as Costa Rica. Few gave Costa Rica a chance against Uruguay, but it won by multiple goals. Honduras could be another Costa Rica, or it could just be what Costa Rica was supposed to be.
The latter is more likely.
France winning this match by multiple goals is probably more likely than a draw.
Argentina vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina
Argentina 72-200 to win, Bosnia-Herzegovina 226-25 to win, 383-100 for a draw
Bosnia-Herzegovina is far more capable of pulling off an upset than Honduras is. However, Argentina is even more capable of holding off an upset than France is.
More numbers: Lionel Messi has the highest odds, 7-1, to lead the World Cup in goals scored. He scored 28 goals for Barcelona this past season and is going to be a pain to deal with.
But Argentina doesn't have the second-highest odds to win the World Cup—behind only Brazil—just because of Messi. It's stacked from top to bottom. Bosnia-Herzegovina isn't and will need to be at its best to force a draw.
*All odds are according to Odds Shark
David Daniels is a columnist at Bleacher Report. He tweets too.