The 2009 AT&T National Six Pack
How’d that six pack treat you last week?
You should be drunk with cash if you paid attention. I know it wasn’t a booming 60:1 winner, but it’s always nice to cash three tickets from one six pack, no matter what.
David Toms T5 4/1
Kenny Perry WINNER 20/1
Kenny Perry T5 4/1
At first, I was nervous, as four of my six golfers either were cut or withdrew, the main lingering concern being Dustin Johnson’s wrist injury. Hopefully it is nothing severe, as Dustin is having a great year so far in 2009.
Kenny Perry continues to impress, as do his aging counterparts David Toms and Paul Goydos, who tied for second place at the Travelers Championship last weekend. Can you believe Kenny will be eligible for the Champions Tour in August next year? That means he can double dip if he so chooses. He would be crazy to do so, as the purses are much larger on the PGA Tour than to those on the Champions Tour.
This week we head to Congressional in Bethesda, MD, where a premium is placed on scoring, and a bit more towards accuracy rather than sheer brute distance. The ultra-exclusive Congressional Country Club has hosted a few U.S. Opens, and has long been the retreat for many a highbrowed Washingtonian.
Can you say, "lobbyist?"
I knew you could.
Tiger has brought pro golf back to Congressional by hosting this invitational, started back in 2007.
This makes handicapping the event a little tougher when it comes to past results, but I have some great guys for both your Yahoo! fantasy teams, as well as your gambling enjoyment.
At this point in Yahoo!, I am still in the 99th percentile, placed at 907th out of at least 75,000 with 3,778 points. I am also seventh out of 693 in my group, Fans of Hunter Mahan. The closest of the four Yahoo! experts to me is Matt Romig with 3,644 points.
Also, some of you have requested that I start posting how many starts I have left for players I select in my Yahoo! fantasy preview selection, so starting this week, that data will be in parentheses beside the golfers name.
GROUP A will have the red-hot Jim Furyk (seven) starting and the event host Tiger Woods (five) backing him up.
GROUP B has Sean O’Hair (six) and Jason Day (eight) starting, while the well-rested Charley Hoffman (six), and the dialed-in Hunter Mahan (seven) back them up.
GROUP C will see Nick O' Hern get the nod, while the surprising Jason Dufner backs him up.
Please realize this is the time of year that Hunter Mahan has traditionally elevated his game to the top level. That would explain why some books have him as low as 12:1 odds of winning, and also why he is NOT in the six pack.
You will notice that Anthony Kim is pictured above holding up his trophy from this event last year. I have never come so close to picking someone to repeat an event as I have this week! I really, REALLY think that A.K. is very well-positioned to repeat this event this year, but I have my rules, so he is OUT of my six pack, even though he is a value-packed 22:1 this week.
Consider those guys “honorable mention”.
Let’s crack open the six pack…
No. 1 Mike Weir
All of you Canadians will be happy to see this man here, I hope.
After watching Mike Weir hit his hybrids like he did at the U.S. Open in round two, he has not escaped my mind. I know, I know, he choked a bit, but that’s what Mike Weir DOES AT THE U.S. OPEN!
That being said, I really like this guy, and his performance so far in 2009.
Weirsy is 12-for-14 on cuts made this year, and has finished T14, T16, T64, T10, and T10 in his past five efforts. That tells me he is focused, and despite his “collapse” at the U.S. Open (which in my opinion, was not really a collapse per se), he can get the job done.
Mike is ranked seventh in putts per round at 28.04. He is ranked seventh in scoring average before the cut at 69.52, and he also ranks 12th on tour in total eagles made with, yep you guessed it, seven.
Not too shabby for a little guy eh?
At 25:1, your payday won’t be too shabby either if you take Mike Weir this week.
No. 2. Robert Allenby
Robert Allenby is one of those guys on the PGA Tour that I can’t help but root for. Allenby has finished in the top 10 twice on this course in three events played here.
Recently Robert has gone T14, T65, T41, T4, CUT in his last five events. I am cutting him some slack on his US Open cut, as he was only one stroke off the cut line, on a very tough track.
Allenby is playing well this year, and I think that he is due for a really good finish, and perhaps a win this week.
Allenby is 11th in GIR at 68.69 percent, and he is also ranked fifth in total driving which combines distance and accuracy off the tee. That stat is a huge bonus for this golf course. Coincidentally, the statistic that combines total driving and GIR percent is called ball striking. Allenby just so happens to rank fourth on tour in that little gem as well.
I really like the value with wily Australian, Robert Allenby this week at 28:1 odds.
No. 3 Vijay Singh
The big Fijian looks like he is finally back on track. The only problem is, each I time I put him in my six pack, I seem to give him the kiss of death.
That would explain his absence from my six pack over the past month or so.
Well, Vijay’s back and I like the way he is playing right now. I think the time to capitalize on him is now. If his putter gets hot, he will win this week.
Vijay only has one cut in his last five outings and all of the other four efforts have produced T27 or better, with a few T10’s in there.
Given Singh’s horrible start to the season, I am impressed with some of his statistical efforts thus far. He is 31st in total driving, 24th in ball striking, and 14th in birdies made on par three's.
This week, you can’t go wrong with Vijay Singh at 33:1 odds, let's just send some good "juju" to his putter this week.
No. 4 John Mallinger
Mallinger is 12-for-17 in cuts made this year, and recently has had one cut in his past five efforts. Two of those past five efforts have yielded results brushing the top five area on the leader board.
I like his recent progression and upward trending.
John was a Nationwide stand out, and is starting to come into his own on the PGA Tour. His maturation has helped him produce some nice results so far in 2009.
Mallinger is an accurate driver of the golf ball, ranking 37th on tour in accuracy at 66.89 percent on fairways hit. Mallinger is also an excellent putter, ranking 44th in average putts per round at 28.56 strokes. I also love that he is sixth on tour in 2009 in eagles with eight made.
John Mallinger is value personified this week at 50:1 odds of winning, so mark him down.
No. 5 Jason Day
My second Australian of the week, Crikies!
I am quite fond of Jason Day, especially here in 2009. He is a young player, and he is certainly on-the-rise. I really think this kid has what it takes to win on tour this year, and this very well could be the week that he gets it done.
Day ranks 21st in Par Breakers at 22.22 percent and is currently 13th in scoring average at 69.82 strokes per round. Equally impressive is the fact that he also ranks 44th on tour in the all encompassing "All Around" category.
Day has been playing well as of late, and is poised to have a "breakout" week. He has made 8-of-11 cuts, so he almost always has a chance come Sunday.
Look for Jason Day on your sports book this week, he should be in the 66:1 range, or maybe even better.
No. 6 Jason Dufner
I have been picking this guy on Yahoo! quite a bit, but mainly because he is in GROUP C, that tends to be home to some of the "also-rans" of the PGA.
He is a shining star amongst dull dimwits in GROUP C, but is certainly proven himself worthy of GROUP B status for 2010.
Dufner is an obscure pick worthy of long-shot status, but certainly is a CREDIBLE long shot to say the least.
Dufner rarely misses the cut, and he has had two top-10 finishes (or better) in his last five events.
Dufner's stats are not earth-shattering by any means, yet they are however impressive for a relatively "unknown" golfer.
The Cleveland native ranks 29th on tour in GIR at 67.49 percent, is 39th in total driving, and somehow ranks 34th in par breakers, at 21.55 percent.
This guy is no slouch.
He has already made twice as much money so far in 2009 as he did on tour in ALL of 2007, while only playing in HALF the amount of events!
I cannot consciously keep this guy out of my six pack this week, as he is somehow an INSANE 100:1 odds of winning.
Watch this guy!
Good luck, no matter who you pick, and as always, hit 'em straight.