Last year, Michigan started out with a 17-7 lead in the first half in Happy Valley! They stayed in the game until late in the third quarter, when Steven Threet left injured, and everything unraveled.
It was tied at 17 at that point, but the final score was 46-17. Penn State finished the season strong, going to a Rose Bowl—while Michigan finished 3-9.
Penn State has great talent at linebacker, and fantastic senior leadership from Daryll Clark. But PSU loses a lot of talent at wide receiver, offensive line, and in the secondary. In addition, they also lost Maurice Evans and Aaron Maybin to the NFL draft.
Penn State's offense probably will match up well with Michigan's defense in this game, especially on the ground.
Michigan's offense rushed for 200 yards in Happy Valley last season and I wouldn't be surprised if they give a good run at repeating that feat this year.
Michigan has more speed (QB), talent, experience, and a better offensive line, so they will run with Penn State here.
This offseason, I have been consistent in saying Michigan will have at least one major surprise upset and possibly one major letdown, and I believe that Penn St., Illinois, and Ohio State (who all blew out Michigan) are susceptible to being upset.
Michigan will exact revenge on one of those big three offensive teams, and this could be that game.
This game is decided in the trenches and Michigan will play stronger on both sides of the ball in the end.
Michigan 31, Penn State 24. Michigan is 7-1 (3-1 in the conference).
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