San Antonio took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven series with the win. According to ESPN Stats & Info, the Spurs rarely lose the series after establishing this lead.
Spurs: 15-3 in best-of-7 series when leading 2-1 in the Gregg Popovich era— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) June 11, 2014
But they established this lead last year and the Heat stormed back and won in Game 7. Here's when and where to watch the Finals if they go that long this season.
|4||Thurs., June 12||9 p.m.||MIA||SA||ABC|
|5||Sun., June 15||8 p.m.||SA||MIA||ABC|
|6*||Tues., June 17||9 p.m.||MIA||SA||ABC|
|7*||Fri., June 20||9 p.m.||SA||MIA||ABC|
*If necessary; source: NBA.com
San Antonio is outscoring Miami by over 10 points a game in the Finals. But as much as the Spurs are outplaying the Heat, the defending champions won't go down without a fight. This series will last at least six games, if not seven.
Miami hasn't lost back-to-back postseason games this year. In fact, it hasn't since 2012. And it hasn't lost back-to-back home postseason games since 2011.
The Spurs carry the experienced, "old guys" persona because of Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker. But the Heat as a collective have more championship experience than San Antonio because Miami has been to four straight NBA Finals. It's all Norris Cole knows, for crying out loud.
Will Miami's lack of depth cost it the Finals?
With that being said, though, the Heat's depth is letting them down—depth, meaning everyone besides the Big Three. Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis have hit their fair share of threes. But Chris Anderson is a shell of his former self, and Cole and Mario Chalmers have a total of 20 points and 14 turnovers this series.
The absence of their impact wouldn't be disastrous against, say, the Indiana Pacers. But against a Spurs rotation which is getting quality production out of eight players, three can't carry Miami.
Prediction: San Antonio in seven.
David Daniels is a columnist at Bleacher Report. He tweets, too.