US Open Picks 2014: Latest Field Odds and Predictions from Around the Web

Tyler BrookeSenior Analyst IIJune 11, 2014

PINEHURST, NC - JUNE 10:  Phil Mickelson of the United States hits a tee shot during a practice round prior to the start of the 114th U.S. Open at Pinehurst Resort & Country Club, Course No. 2 on June 10, 2014 in Pinehurst, North Carolina.  (Photo by Tyler Lecka/Getty Images)
Tyler Lecka/Getty Images

The 2014 U.S. Open at Pinehurst officially begins on Thursday, and there are a few favorites in the field with favorable odds to win, but the favorites aren't always the ones analysts predict to claim the major championship.

There are plenty of big storylines entering this year's U.S. Open, even with Tiger Woods missing the tournament. Phil Mickelson will be looking to finally win his first career U.S. Open after finishing in second six different times.

Rory McIlroy will be in the hunt for his second U.S. Open title after winning in 2011, while Bubba Watson is trying to become the sixth player to win the first two majors of the season, according to ESPN Stats & Info.

As the players prepare for the second major of the PGA Tour season, let's take a look at the latest odds for the top contenders as well as some of the most recent predictions from around the web.


2014 U.S. Open Odds

2014 U.S. Open Odds For Top Contenders
Rory McIlroy10/1
Adam Scott12/1
Phil Mickelson14/1
Bubba Watson18/1
Henrik Stenson25/1
Jordan Spieth25/1
Justin Rose25/1
Matt Kuchar25/1
Jason Day28/1
Dustin Johnson33/1
Lee Westwood33/1
Luke Donald33/1
Sergio Garcia33/1

Odds for the entire field can be viewed at


Predictions from Around the Web

Kyle Porter, CBS Sports

Predicted winner: Charl Schwartzel

He's only coming in at 50-to-1 odds, but Kyle Porter from CBS Sports is predicting the dark horse to win at Pinehurst.

DUBLIN, OH - JUNE 01:  Charl Schwartzel of South Africa plays a shot on the fifth hole during the final round of the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide Insurance at Muirfield Village Golf Club on June 1, 2014 in Dublin, Ohio.  (Photo by Sam Green
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

While he ranks just 76th in the FedEx Cup standings, he's had some strong showings this season. He started the year by finishing in fifth at the Northern Trust Open, putting up a round of 69 followed by three straight rounds of 68 to finish at 11 under par. He's had some solid showings lately as well, finishing tied for 12th or better in three of his past four tournaments.

The long fairways will be an advantage for the 2011 Masters Tournament winner. So far this season, he ranks 32nd in driving distance, averaging 297.2 yards. He's struggled hitting the green in regulation just 60.76 percent of the time, but with the narrow fairways, he won't be the only one struggling to hit the green.

Porter isn't going with one of the go-to contenders, and it's kind of refreshing to see. Schwartzel has won a major before, and if he can stay on the fairway, he'll have a shot at winning another.


Jason Sobel, Golf Channel

Predicted winner: Matt Kuchar

DUBLIN, OH - MAY 30:  Matt Kuchar hits his tee shot on the fifth hole during the second round of the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide Insurance at Muirfield Village Golf Club on May 30, 2014 in Dublin, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Image
Matt Sullivan/Getty Images

He's not the first guy you think of when it comes to favorites in this year's tournament, but Matt Kuchar is up there with 25-1 odds, and Jason Sobel from the Gold Channel likes his chances, saying:

He fits the mold of Justin Rose and Webb Simpson, the last two champions -- good, solid ball-strikers; family men winning on Father’s Day, which really has nothing to do with the end result, but in some way, maybe it does.

It just feels like Kuchar’s number is ready to be called now. You can crunch the numbers, analyze swings, even examine biorhythms, but sometimes a hunch is still the best play.

Kuchar is off to a great start this season, currently third in the FedEx standings. In 15 events, he's won one tournament, come in second in another and came away with seven other top-10 finishes. He's never won a major, and he hasn't had a ton of success at the U.S. Open.

However, Kuchar has looked slightly better recently. He had a career-best finish at the major in 2010, finishing tied for sixth, and has made the cut in every year since. He's been consistent off the tee and on the green all year, ranking 21st in driving percentage and 12th in strokes gained from putting.

He'll have plenty of competition, but with how well he's played this season, Kuchar is a legitimate contender to win his first major.


David Dusek,

Predicted winner: Adam Scott

DUBLIN, OH - JUNE 01:  Adam Scott of Australia hits  his tee shot on the first hole during the final round of the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide Insurance at Muirfield Village Golf Club on June 1, 2014 in Dublin, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sulliva
Matt Sullivan/Getty Images

Golfweek senior writer David Dusek isn't afraid to pick a favorite to win this year's U.S. Open, as he has 2013 Masters winner Adam Scott taking home his second major in as many years, saying:

Pinehurst is going to demand outstanding iron play, and the World No. 1 can hit ‘em high and far and accurately. The Aussie has the majors figured out, and with Steve Williams on his bag, he’s ready for anything Donald Ross, Ben Crenshaw and Bill Coore can through [sic] at him.

Scott has looked very sharp in recent majors, especially last season, finishing in the top five in three of the four. However, he's never been able to break the top 10 at the U.S. Open, according to Porter.

The No. 1 player in the most recent world golf rankings, Scott has started to heat up lately, finishing in the top five in three of his last five tournaments. He's been great recovering from shots in bunkers, ranking third on the PGA Tour with a 62.67 sand save percentage. 

He's had plenty of success recently in other majors, and now Scott will be hoping that he can finally have another strong finish at the U.S. Open.