US Open Golf 2014: Latest Odds and Betting Tips for Golf's Top Contenders

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US Open Golf 2014: Latest Odds and Betting Tips for Golf's Top Contenders
Darron Cummings/Associated Press
Justin Rose won the U.S. Open in 2013, but he's a 25-1 shot to repeat.

With the 2014 U.S. Open Championship set to tee off Thursday at Pinehurst, Tiger Woods is not walking through that door. Even if he were, he almost certainly would not win. Though oddsmakers list a handful of favorites, bettors should take the field, just as they should have done for the 2014 Belmont Stakes.

The course at Pinehurst presents a host of new challenges, and no golfer has displayed sufficient steadiness to make any of the top three favorites a solid bet. Instead, a few other players usurp those with top odds, as their games are uniquely suited to cope with this year's challenges at the U.S. Open. 

Best Odds to Win 2014 U.S. Open Championship
Player Odds
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Adam Scott 12-1
Phil Mickelson 14-1
Bubba Watson 18-1
Henrik Stenson 25-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Justin Rose 25-1
Matt Kuchar 25-1
Jason Day 28-1
Dustin Johnson 33-1
Lee Westwood 33-1
Luke Donald 33-1
Sergio Garcia 33-1
Graeme McDowell 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Jason Dufner 40-1
Jim Furyk 40-1
Martin Kaymer 40-1
Charl Schwartzel 50-1
Hunter Mahan 50-1
Jimmy Walker 50-1
Steve Stricker 50-1
Webb Simpson 50-1
Zach Johnson 50-1
Brandt Snedeker 66-1
Ian Poulter 66-1
Keegan Bradley 66-1
Louis Oosthuizen 66-1
Rickie Fowler 66-1
Bill Haas 80-1
Billy Horschel 80-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Harris English 80-1
Jonas Blixt 80-1
Victor Dubuisson 80-1
Brendon Todd 100-1
Ernie Els 100-1
Francesco Molinari 100-1
Graham Delaet 100-1
John Senden 100-1
Kevin Na 100-1
Patrick Reed 100-1
Paul Casey 100-1
Retief Goosen 100-1
Ryan Moore 100-1

Odds Shark

(Odds taken from Odds Shark on June 10 at 4 p.m. ET.)

 

Best Suited to the Course

Notable changes have occurred at Pinehurst for the 2014 U.S. Open, and the elimination of the tournament's signature rough stands chief among them.

As noted by Golf.com's Joe Passov:

For the first time in modern history, [course architect] Bill Coore says, the U.S. Open will be played without its traditional rough. Coore/[Ben] Crenshaw yanked out 35 acres of primary Bermuda rough that had flanked the fairways, replacing it with hardpan, sandy scrub, pine straw and wispy wiregrass. [...] True, the fairways are wider, but they'll play firmer and faster, especially on the edges where irrigation heads were eliminated. With less resistance from thicker grass, more balls will race into the sandy scrub.

Get ready for a ton of bad lies on otherwise serviceable shots. That means accuracy on drives will be key, but so will length, as there is no rough to get mired in. 

Despite all the focus on the elimination of the U.S. Open's traditionally thick rough, ESPN.com's Farrell Evans and Kevin Maguire both noted that the turtleback greens will be the real bone of contention for players. 

According to Maguire, "If your short game isn't sharp, you aren't making pars, which are always crucial at the year's second major."

The course also plays very long, with five par-fours longer than 500 yards. Look for big hitters with sharp short games to flourish on the unusual course design at Pinehurst. 

Bubba Watson (18-1), Dustin Johnson (33-1) and Sergio Garcia (33-1) will be helped by their ability to hit greens in regulation with regularity.

Streeter Lecka/Getty Images
Bubba Watson's length and accuracy make his a solid bet at Pinehurst.

Each has done so at 69 percent or better this season, per PGATour.com. Watson and Johnson also rank first and second in driving distance. Look for this trio to find success as the favorites struggle. 

 

Outright Favorites

Justin Rose won the 2013 U.S. Open and hits Pinehurst with 25-1 odds. His victory was preceded by Webb Simpson in 2012, a 50-1 shot this year. However, the 2011 champion stands above all as the favorite to win in 2014.

Rory McIlroy won that year at 16 under par, and while his results have been erratic of late, he's still the favorite to win at 10-1. Considering his shaky results this season, those are rotten odds for bettors. 

Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Though McIlroy has five top-10 finishes over his last seven tournaments, his showing at the Memorial spoke volumes. McIlroy posted a blistering first-round 63 to claim a three-stroke lead. Then, he coughed up a second-round 78 to all but sink his chances.

Adam Scott, who has 12-1 odds to win at Pinehurst, won the Crowne Plaza in late May and followed up by taking fourth place at the Memorial Tournament. While he's striking the ball very well over his last two outings, he hiccuped at The Players Championship by finishing 38th. 

Moreover, Scott has not found success at the U.S. Open, failing to crack the top 10 there in his career. It's historically his worst major. Scott is not poised to change his habits at the tournament. 

Will one of the three favorites—McIlroy, Scott or Mickelson—win the 2014 U.S. Open?

Submit Vote vote to see results

Phil Mickelson missed the cut at both the Masters and The Players Championship, and he finished 49th at the Memorial. As if that wasn't enough, the FBI has been sniffing around "Lefty"  for suspicion of insider trading. 

Mickelson has looked shaky this year from tournament to tournament. While McIlroy has been better than Phil, he has shown inconsistency from round to round.

Patience and consistency form the recipe for success at every U.S. Open, and Pinehurst is no different, despite the changes to the traditional course.

Instead of the golfers with top odds, expect the likes of Watson, Johnson and Garcia to find greater success in the tournament.

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