If the offseason is a tunnel, we have come to its darkest point. There is no time with less relevant college football news than mid-June and early July. This is as bad as it gets.
However, because we have made it through the false illumination of recruiting season and spring practice, being in the darkness does not seem so bad. For the first time since we entered this tunnel six months ago—since we were forced to take the on-ramp in Pasadena—we can properly see the light on its other side.
One of the rays that is irradiating from that light is the release of early prop bets. Whether they be player-, team- or even Week 1-specific, these bets give us something to talk about, argue over and—if you live in Nevada, of course!—wager on in the run-up to the season.
Deriving value from these numbers is a difficult exercise. A sharp would recommend some sort of algorithm or power number, and a square would bet with his heart. I fall somewhere between these two extremes, preferring to think like a sharp—I understand the basic tenets of gambling—but not having access to their super-arcane data.
Which means these bets were derived from a combination of the two. I looked at the rosters, the schedules and the advanced stats to determine where some value might lie, but I also, in a couple cases, went with my gut or on a whim. Why not?
Sound off below and tell me where you disagree.