Green Bay Packers: Projecting the Stat Line of Aaron Rodgers in 2014

Bob FoxContributor IJune 10, 2014

FILE - In this Jan. 5, 2014, file photo, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers looks to pass against the San Francisco 49ers during an NFL wild-card playoff football game in Green Bay, Wis. Signing with an agent usually is the first career move a college player makes in turning pro. Some agents boast their successful clientele at certain positions, or alumnus from certain schools.  “A lot like a restaurant, it’s word of mouth, but frankly (that) isn’t the worst way to build a business,” said David Dunn, who represents Rodgers among the stockpile of players represented by his firm, Athletes First.  (AP Photo/Matt Ludtke, File)
Matt Ludtke/Associated Press

The year was 2008. That was the first year Aaron Rodgers became a starting quarterback for the Green Bay Packers after sitting behind the legendary Brett Favre for the first three years of his NFL career in Titletown.

So, what happened that year that hasn't happened since for No. 12?

That was the last year Rodgers' quarterback rating was less than 100; it was "only" 93.8. Since then, Rodgers has had five straight seasons of having no less than a 101.2 rating with his quarterback mark.

In addition to that, the Packers have been to the playoffs in each of those five seasons, which includes three NFC North titles and a victory in Super Bowl XLV.

Expect more of the same in 2014. Why? Rodgers will be leading the most balanced offense he has ever run since he became a starter in 2008, and the weaponry he will utilize will be among the best in the NFL.

At wide receiver, Rodgers has Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb and Jarrett Boykin back, and Ted Thompson added three more receivers in the NFL draft when he selected Davante Adams, Jared Abbrederis and Jeff Janis.

In addition to that, the team also has some other talented young players at that position with Chris Harper, Myles White and Kevin Dorsey.

Rodgers has to feel like a kid in a candy store when he sees the talent and the depth at the wideout position.

Even with the possibility of Jermichael Finley not coming back, the team is well-stocked at tight end also. The Packers re-signed Andrew Quarless, and they drafted Richard Rodgers in the third round of the draft. The team also signed talented undrafted rookie Colt Lyerla.

Also returning to the Packers at tight end are Brandon Bostick, Ryan Taylor and Jake Stoneburner.

As good as the options that Rodgers will have in the passing game, the Packers also now have a top-10 running attack that will only help the effectiveness of the aerial game.

The depth at running back is very good, led by the 2013 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Eddie Lacy. Behind Lacy are James Starks, DuJuan Harris and Johnathan Franklin. There is also the always dependable John Kuhn at fullback.

Rodgers could also be working behind the best offensive line he has ever had since becoming the starting quarterback.

If Bryan Bulaga plays as well as he did at right tackle before his hip and knee injuries the past two years, the Packers will be set at the offensive tackle position. Left tackle David Bakhtiari had a very solid rookie year overall protecting the blind side of the quarterback.

The backups at tackle would be Don Barclay and former first-round pick Derek Sherrod, who looks like he might really be healthy again in 2014 after the horrific leg injury he suffered late in the 2011 season.

The best offensive lineman on the team is Josh Sitton, who played well last season at left guard, which was his first year at the position. Likewise, T.J. Lang was also solid at right guard. Barclay will also get a chance to be get some playing time at guard in camp as well.

The Packers are very impressed with second-year center J.C. Tretter, who is extremely quick off the snap and has gotten stronger. Speaking of strong, Tretter will be pushed by rookie Corey Linsley, who did 36 reps on the bench press at the NFL Scouting Combine.

CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 29:  Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers looks for a receiver against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on December 29, 2013 in Chicago, Illinois. The Packers defeated the Bears 33-28.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

So, what does this all mean regarding the statistics that Rodgers will put up in 2014?

Before we look at what No. 12 will do, let's look at what he has done since becoming a starter in 2008. Overall, in those six seasons, Rodgers has thrown 187 touchdown passes versus just 51 interceptions for 23,868 yards.

The stats would be even better had Rodgers not missed almost half of the 2013 season due to a fractured clavicle. Still, the overall quarterback rating over those six seasons is a sparkling 105.6.

It makes sense then that Rodgers has the best all-time quarterback rating in NFL history with a career mark of 104.9.

The best season that Rodgers had in that six-year stretch was the 2011 season, which was the year No. 12 was named the NFL MVP. In that remarkable season, Rodgers threw 45 touchdown passes versus just six picks for 4,643 yards.

That all added up to an amazing 122.5 quarterback rating, which is still the best mark in the history of the NFL for one season.

If you look at the talent which was surrounding Rodgers on offense on that 2011 Green Bay team, one can see that the 2014 offensive personnel looks to be just as, if not more, talented than that group.

So what does this mean for Rodgers in 2014? I expect to see approximately 41 touchdown passes versus just seven picks for 4,450 yards from No. 12. That would add up to a quarterback rating of 115.6.

I base those numbers off the track record of Rodgers over the last six seasons, along with the talent which will be surrounding him on offense in 2014.

For instance, the running game will be much stronger for the Packers in 2014 compared to the ground game the Packers had in 2011. There will also be some growing pains at times because of the young players who will see their roles expand on offense this year.

Bottom line, Rodgers will still put up NFL MVP numbers this season, even if they may not exceed the stats he put up in 2011.