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Belmont Stakes Odds 2014: Triple Crown Outlook and Race-Day Predictions

Commanding Curve gallops around the track with exercise rider Emerson Chavez up during a workout, Friday, June 6, 2014, in Elmont, N.Y. Commanding Curve will be one of ten challengers looking to spoil California Chrome's bid at a Triple Crown when they race in the 146th running of the Belmont Stakes horse race on Saturday. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)
Julie Jacobson/Associated Press
Kenny DeJohnAnalyst IIIDecember 17, 2016

California Chrome is 1 1/2 miles away from the first Triple Crown in horse racing since Affirmed accomplished the feat in 1978, but the field at the 2014 Belmont Stakes won't just hand him the first-place award.

Chrome was stellar in the first two jewels of the trifecta. The challenges of the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes proved to be small for the colt, but the pressure is mounting heading into Saturday's historic event.

As the odds-on favorite, Chrome will disappoint more than his owner, trainer and jockey with a loss. That said, he's yet to disappoint during this historic run.

Which horses do the oddsmakers like against Chrome? Below is a table with full odds for the entire field, including race-day predictions for where the horses will finish in the third jewel of the Triple Crown.

 

Odds and Race-Day Predictions

2014 Belmont Stakes Post Positions and Predictions
Post PositionHorseOddsPrediction
1Medal Count20-17th
2California Chrome3-51st
3Matterhorn30-111th
4Commanding Curve15-14th
5Ride On Curlin12-12nd
6Matuszak30-19th
7Samraat20-110th
8Commissioner20-18th
9Wicked Strong6-13rd
10General a Rod20-16th
11Tonalist8-15th
BelmontStakes.com; Kenny DeJohn

 

Triple Crown Outlook

No horse has won all three jewels of the Triple Crown since 1978. Affirmed did so by dominating the competition and overcoming the pressures associated with chasing one of the most coveted honors in all of sports.

California Chrome has shown a similar dominance thus far. Jockey Victor Espinoza knows how to run the colt perfectly. Espinoza, a brilliant jockey, has mastered the art of starting quickly out of the gate in order to get just behind the lead group.

Once behind the group, Chrome maintains this position until space begins to separate the lead group from the group in the back. With this space, Chrome has a comfortable amount of room to jump outside and begin his sprint to catch up with the leaders.

From there, it's a simple sprint to the finish. Chrome has showed the uncanny ability to maintain his sprints for long distances—something that will aid him in his pursuit of victory at a 1 1/2-mile track.

Given his starting position, the chances of Espinoza's strategy working once again seem pretty strong:

Of course, there are multiple horses in the field with eyes on the top prize. Ride On Curlin, Wicked Strong, Tonalist and Commanding Curve have all impressed during the past several weeks, and they have to be considered the top competitors.

Chrome's trainer, Alan Sherman, has already made it known that he's aware of how strong Tonalist and Ride On Curlin are:

That said, Chrome is a strong horse, too. His pre-race workouts have been great, as noted by David Grening and Mike Welsch of Daily Racing Form:

Despite the strong field, this is Chrome's race to lose. He'll have nearly the entire Belmont Park crowd on his side, and the complex will be buzzing leading up to the race.

We haven't seen a Triple Crown winner since 1978. That will end Saturday evening. 

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