Belmont Stakes 2014: Updated Predictions, Betting Lines and Post Time

Sean ODonnellContributor IIIJune 5, 2014

Exercise rider Willie Delgado gallops California Chrome on a second lap during a workout at Belmont Park, Wednesday, June 4, 2014, in Elmont, N.Y. The Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes winner will attempt to become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978 when he races in the 146th running of the Belmont Stakes horse race on Saturday. (AP Photo/Peter Morgan)
Peter Morgan/Associated Press

Following Wednesday's post-position draw, the anxiety continues to build for the 2014 Belmont Stakes on Saturday.

We've already seen a few changes to the field, as it was announced on Tuesday Kid Cruz would be scratched from the race and General A Rod would compete. On Wednesday, things were shaken up again, as Social Inclusion was scratched, according to a tweet from Childs Walker of The Baltimore Sun:

After all of that, we experienced the intensity of the post-position draw.

Once each horse's name was selected and gates were assigned, the race's odds shifted once more.

With all of this taken into consideration, let's overview the event's schedule, each post position and updated odds and decide how the Belmont Stakes is likely to unfold.


2014 Belmont Stakes Schedule

When: Saturday, June 7

Where: Belmont Park in Elmont, New York

Coverage Time: 5 p.m. - 7 p.m. ET

Post Time: 6:35 p.m. ET

Channel: NBC


Post Positions, Odds and Predictions

2014 Belmont Stakes Post Positions, Odds and Predictions
15Ride On Curlin12-1
22California Chrome3-5
39Wicked Strong6-1
44Commanding Curve15-1
810General A Rod20-1
91Medal Count20-1
Sean O'Donnell's Predictions

Odds courtesy of


Well, should this prediction come to fruition, we'll have to continue our wait to see another Triple Crown winner.

Sure, it's tough to bet against California Chrome, given his two sparkling performances at the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes. However, the 1 1/2-mile Belmont Stakes could prove to be the California-bred colt's undoing.

A tweet from The Baltimore Sun shared the same concerns:

Starting in the No. 2 gate, California Chrome has a great chance to settle in behind the leaders early—the same strategy employed by jockey Victor Espinoza at Churchill Downs and Pimlico.

Also, expect the signature burst to the front of the pack from California Chrome after the far turn.

That's where things will change.

At the Preakness, Ride On Curlin showed fantastic endurance and a great burst late in the race; however, after starting outside at the No. 10 position, he simply had too much ground to cover.

Here's a look back at the duel between California Chrome and Ride On Curlin at Pimlico:

With the extra quarter mile at the Belmont Stakes—and starting from a far more favorable position in the No. 5 post—Ride On Curlin will use his great closing speed to edge California Chrome down the final furlong.

After all, Ride On Curlin's trainer Billy Gowan thinks this race suits his colt best, according to a tweet from the NYRA:

The remaining top positions will be filled with great closers as well.

Expect Wicked Strong, Commanding Curve and Tonalist to be heavy factors down the race's final stretch.

Ongoing workouts at Belmont Park could certainly sway these predictions before the race begins; however, as of Thursday, it will be Ride On Curlin who dons the carnation blanket when the dust settles on Saturday.