Odds could change at the 2014 Belmont Stakes post position draw time.
Right now, 2014 Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes champion California Chrome is a heavy 1-1 favorite to win the Belmont and complete the Triple Crown. Top contenders to pull off an upset are Ride on Curlin with 5-1 odds, Commanding Curve and Tonalist with 15-2, and Wicked Strong with 9-1, according to Odds Shark.
However, horses have had so much more success in certain Belmont post positions than others that the draw could significantly alter these odds. Here's how to watch it.
When: Wednesday, June 4 at 11 a.m. ET
Where: HRTV, TVG
Live Stream: belmontstakes.com
Since 1905, the further inside a horse has started in the Belmont, the better. Post position isn't a direct correlation to how well a horse runs, but a trend certainly exists.
Twenty-three Belmont champions have started in post position No. 1. That's eight more champions than any other post position. The advantage is undeniable.
If California Chrome draws the No. 1 post position, his odds will soar even higher. But if he doesn't, plenty of success has come elsewhere.
Eleven Belmont champions have started in post position No. 2, 15 in No. 3, 10 in No. 4, 14 in No. 5, 7 in No. 6 and 13 in No. 7. While there's a notable gap in victories over the years between post position No. 1 and the rest of them, Nos. 2-7 have brought similar success. After that, though, it begins to drop off again.
Only six Belmont champions have started in post position No. 8, four in No. 9, two in No. 10 as well as 11, and it took until last year for a horse, Palace Malice, to win in No. 12.
Of course, a dozen horses don't always race. There have been two instances since 1905 in which only two horses competed. But fields of 14 and 15 have also happened.
Thirteen horses will race this year. And while it isn't impossible to win on the outside, it's more challenging.
David Daniels is a columnist at Bleacher Report and editor at Wade-O Radio.
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