Making college basketball predictions is an art, and there are a few key rules we all need to follow when engaging in this process.
We make a heck of a lot of predictions here at Bleacher Report, but rarely do we actually go back and evaluate our skills in prognostication.
In the days leading up to the 2013-14 season, we offered you a pair of pieces identified as expert predictions. The first was on All-Americans and the second on things like most disappointing team, best mid-major star and national champion.
Now, I'm not grading our experts' picks—partially because my prediction of Oklahoma State winning the national championship would be a nice big "F-"—but I read through what we each wrote to figure out where we did well, where we did horribly and, most importantly, why.
Unlike the NCAA tournament where one bad call, one rolled ankle or one bad shooting day can completely derail even the most brilliant bracket, thoughtful research should hold up well over the course of an entire season.
Maybe it's a bunch of overgeneralized hooey, but these are the five things I'll be keeping in mind over the course of the next five months of preseason predictions.