When it comes to analyzing prospects for the NFL draft, it is very much an imperfect science. You can come up with analytics and metrics to try and differentiate players, but ultimately, once they get to the league, everything changes.
Every year, exceptional college football players end up on teams that will not allow them to be successful. Whether it’s a matter of personnel already on the roster, talent around them or coaching, problems arise that force players with unlimited potential down a path to mediocrity.
Taking an early look at 2014, there are eight players who stand out as great prospects who could be doomed because of where they were drafted. Nothing is certain of course, but with NFL players having such a short shelf life, if you can’t hit the ground running, your chances of success become low in a hurry.
When research started on this, the expectation was that finding poor fits would be a simple task. However, the contrary was true. It is a reflection of the depth of this draft and the work these teams put in that most front offices did a really good job in the early rounds of this draft.
All NFL draft data courtesy of NFL.com.