NBA Draft 2014: Lottery Odds and Prospects Who Will Go Earlier Than Expected

Chris Roling@@Chris_RolingFeatured ColumnistMay 20, 2014

CHICAGO, IL - May 15:  NBA draft prospect Cleanthony Early participates in drills during the 2014 Draft Combine on May 15, 2014 at Quest Multisport in Chicago, Illinois. NOTE TO USER:  User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  Mandatory Copyright Notice:  Copyright 2014 NBAE (Photo by Gary Dineen/NBAE via Getty Images)
Gary Dineen/Getty Images

Without fail, the NBA draft manages to shock fans each year with prospects who go off the board much higher than anyone could have predicted.

While it seems unlikely this year in an extremely deep class led by the likes of Andrew Wiggins, some sleeper prospects have quietly made their way up draft boards thanks to the NBA draft combine and other factors.

Let's take a look at every team's odds at landing the lottery and a few players who should not come as surprises on draft day when they come off the board rather high in comparison to the hype.

2014 NBA Draft Lottery Odds
Rank Team Chance of Winning
1 Milwaukee Bucks25.0%
2 Philadelphia 76ers19.9%
3 Orlando Magic15.6%
4 Boston Celtics10.4%
5 Utah Jazz10.3%
6 Los Angeles Lakers6.3%
7 Sacramento Kings 4.3%
8 Detroit Pistons2.8%
9 Cleveland Cavaliers1.7%
10 New Orleans Pelicans 1.1%
11 Denver Nuggets (via New York Knicks)0.8%
12 Orlando Magic (via Denver Nuggets)0.7%
13 Minnesota Timberwolves0.6%
14 Phoenix Suns0.5%


Cleanthony Early, SF, Wichita State

Wichita State has raised eyebrows around the globe the last couple of seasons and even landed a No. 1 seed in this year's NCAA tournament.

Much of the credit goes to Cleanthony Early, one of the draft's top seniors and hidden gems. Early averaged 27 points and seven rebounds per game in the tournament last year and used his extreme athleticism to shock pros at the combine.

As illustrated by ESPN Insider Chad Ford, via NBA on ESPN, many teams now believe Early has what it takes to play the 3 spot:

Many people, including Sports Illustrated's Seth Davis, are on the hype train:

At 6'8" and 219 pounds, Early has passed the eye test. His natural talent is there, and the possibility of him sneaking into the mid-teens at perhaps No. 16 overall to a team like Phoenix is not all that outlandish.


K.J. McDaniels, SF, Clemson

Frank Franklin II/Associated Press

There has always been a lot to like about K.J. McDaniels, a 6'6", 200-pound enforcer who easily has a role at the pro level as a glue guy on the defensive end of the court.

But this past season, McDaniels drastically improved his stock in the minds of experts, including Jay Williams, via the official Twitter account of Clemson men's basketball: 

Much of that has to do with stellar averages of 17.1 points and 1.6 assists per game.

McDaniels has quietly morphed into a solid all-around prospect who has seen a major increase in value from this time a year ago, and outdated projections will be proved wrong when he slips into the latter half of the first round.


T.J. Warren, SF, N.C. State

Phelan M. Ebenhack/Associated Press

N.C. State product T.J. Warren is set to fulfill a dream in the first round of the 2014 NBA draft, as captured by ESPN College BBall:

Warren was easily the most underrated player in the NCAA realm last year, which is what happens when one shines in the same conference as Duke's Jabari Parker.

After carrying his team on his back to a third straight tournament berth thanks to averages of 24.9 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.1. assists per game, Warren stands out as both a leader and a surefire producer.

As A. Sherrod Blakely of CSNNE notes, Warren compares himself very accurately to a superb pro forward still making noise in this year's NBA playoffs:

Warren will need to add some significant bulk to fully realize that comparison, (He's 6'8" and 215 pounds; West is 6'9" and 250 pounds.), but his physical defense and ability to score from anywhere inside the arc is something NBA teams will mightily covet.


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