NBA Draft Lottery 2014: Current Odds and Early Predictions for First 14 Picks

Sean ODonnellContributor IIIMay 19, 2014

Dante Exum, from Australia, participates in the three-quarters-court sprint in the 2014 NBA basketball draft combine Friday, May 16, 2014, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
Charles Rex Arbogast/Associated Press

On Tuesday, 14 NBA franchises will wait with bated breath while the pingpong balls bounce around to determine the draft fate of each lottery team.

There's an immense amount of talent at the top of this year's draft class, and each lottery team shouldn't have trouble finding a prospect capable of becoming a solid NBA starter.

Of course, with higher picks comes higher talent—usually.

With the lottery just one day away, here are the odds for each team to acquire the coveted No. 1 overall selection:

2014 NBA Draft Lottery Odds
1Milwaukee Bucks25.0%
2Philadelphia 76ers19.9%
3Orlando Magic15.6%
4Utah Jazz11.9%
5Boston Celtics8.8%
6Los Angeles Lakers6.3%
7Sacramento Kings3.6%
8Detroit Pistons3.5%
9Cleveland Cavaliers1.7%
10New Orleans Pelicans1.1%
11Denver Nuggets0.8%
12New York Knicks0.7%
13Minnesota Timberwolves0.6%
14Phoenix Suns0.5%

Like every year, there will be plenty of surprises during the lottery process.

Back in 1997, the year Tim Duncan was the consensus No. 1 overall selection, the Boston Celtics had the best chance to secure the top pick.

Well, it didn't quite turn out that way, as former coach M.L. Carr recalls during an interview with Gary Washburn of The Boston Globe:

It was brutal. But you were doing the things that were right for the organization, not going out and getting players that would get you further towards being stuck. You weren't going to take a chance on any of that when you had Tim Duncan in the upcoming draft. It's a tough battle when you're at the bottom looking up. The organization did not use those [1997 draft] resources right and it took a longer time to come back.

It will be interesting to find out what's in store for us this year.

Since we don't have Nostradamus around to predict the upcoming draft order, let's assume it stays the same and take a look at the potential selections for the first 14 overall picks:

2014 NBA Lottery Mock Draft
1Milwaukee BucksAndrew WigginsSFKansas
2Philadelphia 76ersJabari ParkerSFDuke
3Orlando MagicDante ExumPGAustralia
4Utah JazzJoel EmbiidCKansas
5Boston CelticsJulius RandlePFKentucky
6Los Angeles LakersMarcus SmartPGOklahoma State
7Sacramento KingsNoah VonlehPFIndiana
8Detroit PistonsTyler EnnisPGSyracuse
9Cleveland CavaliersDario SaricSFCroatia
1076ers (via New Orleans)Aaron GordonPFArizona
11Magic (via Denver)Rodney HoodSFDuke
12Nuggets (via New York)Gary HarrisSGMichigan State
13Minnesota TimberwolvesDoug McDermottSFCreighton
14Phoenix SunsZach LaVinePGUCLA
Sean O'Donnell's Picks

Dante Exum could easily sneak into the top three of this year's draft. One of the draft's most intriguing prospects, Exum put on a great show at the combine in Chicago.

Alex Kennedy of tweeted about Exum's prowess during the interview process:

That's not the only area in which Exum flourished. According to ESPN Stats & Info, his speed is right up there with some of the NBA's best:

Noah Vonleh will be a certified lottery pick this year. He's an extremely promising prospect with a high ceiling. His massive hand size doesn't hurt, either. Just take a look at this comparative tweet from NBA Legion:

Sneaking into the lottery picks is former UCLA guard Zach LaVine. After his performance at the combine, he could even go higher.

Seth Davis of Sports Illustrated tweeted that word was spreading quickly about LaVine's shooting ability:

That was followed up by some impressive workout numbers, as tweeted by ESPN Insider Chad Ford:

There's plenty of talent at the top of this year's draft class, but where these prospects land is completely up in the air at this point.

We'll have a much better idea upon the conclusion of Tuesday's draft lottery.


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