Preakness 2014: Last-Minute Predictions, Odds for Entire Field

Kenny DeJohnAnalyst IIIMay 17, 2014

Preakness Stakes favorite California Chrome, winner of the Kentucky Derby, heads to the track for a morning workout in the fog with exercise rider Willie Delgado aboard at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Thursday, May 15, 2014.  (AP Photo/Garry Jones)
Garry Jones/Associated Press

The 2014 Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course features California Chrome, the odds-on favorite, attempting to win the second leg of the Triple Crown ahead of the Belmont Stakes on June 7.

Chrome won the Kentucky Derby by just under two lengths, although his lead heading into the final stretch was nearly five full lengths. Jockey Victor Espinoza wisely pulled Chrome back in order to ensure his safety and longevity during this Triple Crown hunt. It's that type of dominance that makes this duo the favorites in Baltimore.

But there are nine other horses in the field with hopes of ending Chrome's run at history. We haven't seen a Triple Crown winner since Affirmed accomplished the feat in 1978, and we'll know after Saturday's race if there's a chance we'll see one in 2014.

Below is a table listing the field of horses based on post position. This table also includes each horse's odds and my personal predictions for how they'll finish.

2014 Preakness Stakes Final Odds and Race Predictions
PostHorseOddsPredicted Finish
1Dynamic Impact12-14th
2General A Rod15-17th
3California Chrome3-51st
4Ring Weekend20-18th
5Bayern10-12nd
6Ria Antonia30-15th
7Kid Cruz20-19th
8Social Inclusion5-13rd
9Pablo Del Monte20-110th
10Ride On Curlin10-16th
HRTV, Official Preakness Odds

 

California Chrome

There were some concerns about California Chrome heading into the race, as a sore throat raised a few eyebrows. He'll run the race, though, and New York Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira likely agrees with the decision:

The sore throat shouldn't hamper Chrome's abilities to run on Saturday, so it's still the smart move to stick with him and Espinoza. After all, there's a reason they're the consensus favorites.

Espinoza knows how to run this horse. This is what he told Ben Roberts of the Lexington-Herald Leader:

After getting stretched out, Chrome turns on the jets and makes up serious ground. This is a speed that he has shown the ability to maintain over a long stretch. Maintaining this speed is going to be key on a shorter track. If Espinoza can successfully implement this strategy again, he and Chrome will be winners at Pimlico.

 

Ria Antonia

Gary Jones/Associated Press

Despite 30-1 odds, Ria Antonia is a horse you shouldn't overlook.

History would suggest that she is a favorite running out of the No. 6 position, via Daily Racing Form's official Twitter account:

History only goes so far, but it's clear that the No. 6 position should help. Jockey Calvin Borel is one of the more talented riders in the sport, so he'll know exactly how to handle the position. This duo could surprise bettors with a finish in the top-half of the competition.

That said, Ria Antonia and Borel will need a flawless run to finish that high. They'll need to be both flawless and lucky in order to take down Chrome.

 

Ride on Curlin

Gary Jones/Associated Press

Ride on Curlin came from the back of the pack to finish seventh in the Kentucky Derby, but even that finish left much to be desired. The colt and jockey Joel Rosario will be looking for a much better finish at Pimlico.

It appears as if the duo is already on the right track towards improvement. Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman suggested on Twitter that Ride On Curlin is already looking much better than he did at Churchill Downs:

Workout runs are generally a good indication of how a horse will run in the main event, but it's also hard to ignore the disappointing finish at the Derby. I think that should take precedent over this recent improvement.

Look for Rosario to keep Ride on Curlin—the son of 2007 Preakness winner Curlin—in the race, but I don't know if he'll have enough to keep up with Chrome at the top.