2014 Preakness Stakes logo2014 Preakness Stakes

2014 Preakness Picks: Final Projections for Middle Leg of the Triple Crown

Victor Espinoza rides California Chrome to a victory during the 140th running of the Kentucky Derby horse race at Churchill Downs Saturday, May 3, 2014, in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
David J. Phillip/Associated Press
Rob GoldbergFeatured ColumnistMay 17, 2014

The 2014 Preakness Stakes could be an opportunity for California Chrome to move one step closer to the Triple Crown, but there are nine other horses looking to prevent this from happening.

After California Chrome took home the Kentucky Derby title in dominant fashion, he has been considered a heavy favorite to keep his momentum going and turn Pimlico into his sixth victory in a row.

However, the excitement from horse racing is that anything can happen once the starting gun goes off. Here is a look at the entire field as well as predictions for the upcoming race.

2014 Preakness Stakes Post Positions and Odds
PostHorseJockeyTrainerLine
1Dynamic ImpactMiguel MenaMark E. Casse12-1
2General a RodJavier CastellanoMike Maker15-1
3California ChromeVictor EspinozaArt Sherman3-5
4Ring WeekendAlan GarciaH. Graham Motion20-1
5BayernRosie NapravnikBob Baffert10-1
6Ria AntoniaCalvin BorelTom Amoss30-1
7Kid CruzJulian PimentelLinda Rice20-1
8Social InclusionLuis ContrerasManny Azpurua5-1
9Pablo Del MonteJeffrey SanchezWesley A. Ward20-1
10Ride On CurlinJoel RosarioWilliam Gowan10-1
via Preakness.com

 

Show: Kid Cruz

Garry Jones/Associated Press

With the pedigree of a former Belmont Stakes winner, you know the speed is there for Kid Cruz to challenge for a title at Preakness.

The horse has experience competing at Pimlico, winning the Federico Tesio Stakes in impressive fashion. After seemingly being far out of contention heading into the final stretch, the thoroughbred took a wide turn to catch and eventually pass the field by a significant margin. 

This closing speed is what will give Kid Cruz a chance to win in this race. Although others in the field have more experience, the pure talent is hard to match.

He also has a famous fan in his namesake:

Starting from the No. 7 post, Kid Cruz has a chance to get into good position early before eventually crossing the finish line near the front of the pack.

 

Place: California Chrome

While California Chrome is the heavy favorite to win the Preakness, this has not always led to success, as noted by David Grening of Daily Racing Form:

The relative inside post is also something that could hold the horse back:

There are few that will deny California Chrome's skill heading into the race. He was dominant in the Kentucky Derby, although it was a slow pace throughout. With Victor Espinoza aboard, he has won five starts in a row and is clearly the best in the field.

That being said, there is a reason that no horse has won the Triple Crown since 1978. Something always tends to go wrong, even if it is as simple as a stumble out of the gate.

With other top contenders in this race, watch for California Chrome's dream to be shattered.

 

Win: Bayern

BALTIMORE, MD - MAY 15: Bayern works on the track in preparation for the 139th Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course on May 15, 2014 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Bayern is a bit of a mystery heading into this race due to his lack of experience in big races. He won his first two starts and then got third at the Grade I Arkansas Derby. However, his only other event was the Derby Trial Stakes which ended in a second-place finish. 

Obviously, the speed is there to succeed in a race like this. Still, the thoroughbred has not gotten it done against top competition in the past.

If you cannot trust the horse, though, you can certainly believe in the team around him. Trainer Bob Baffert has won the Preakness five times in his Hall-of-Fame career and has helped Bayern get to this point. Additionally, Rosie Napravnik will help out as one of the top up-and-coming jockeys in the world.

Baffert had plenty of nice things to say about the female rider:

She will start from a good post and should be able to keep Bayern near the front of the pack for the majority of the race. If he can close strong, he can surprise many by taking home the win at Pimlico.

 

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