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Preakness 2014 Lineup: Final Field Odds and Predictions for All Entries

Exercise rider Bryan Beccia breezes Preakness Stakes hopeful Ride On Curlin at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Md., Wednesday, May 14, 2014. The Preakness Stakes is Saturday, May 17. (AP Photo/Garry Jones)
Garry Jones/Associated Press
Kenny DeJohnAnalyst IIIMay 17, 2014

A short track at the 2014 Preakness Stakes will mean that any horse that keeps up with the pack will have a good chance at winning at Pimlico Race Course, but all eyes will be on the horses with the best odds on Saturday.

Couple that short track with the small field of 10 horses, and it makes for even more excitement. Given that the field is so small, horses likely won't have to come from way outside to make a run at the end of the race. Each horse should be in it right from the opening stretch.

That said, the field odds reflect the expected finishes of the competitors. California Chrome is the consensus favorite after a dominating display at the 2014 Kentucky Derby, but it'll now be up to jockey Victor Espinoza to complete the second leg of the Triple Crown.

Will he do it?

Below you'll find my race predictions, along with the final field odds heading into the 2014 Preakness.

2014 Preakness Stakes Final Odds and Race Predictions
PostHorseOddsPredicted Finish
1Dynamic Impact12-14th
2General a Rod15-17th
3California Chrome3-51st
4Ring Weekend20-18th
5Bayern10-12nd
6Ria Antonia30-15th
7Kid Cruz20-19th
8Social Inclusion5-13rd
9Pablo Del Monte20-110th
10Ride On Curlin10-16th
HRTV, Official Preakness Odds

 

Ria Antonia

Garry Jones/Associated Press

Don't let Ria Antonia's 30-1 odds fool you; she is a competitor at the Preakness. If nothing else, you could say she's a favorite because of the history surrounding the No. 6 post, via Daily Racing Form's official Twitter account:

The odds of Ria Antonia suggest that she's pegged to finish somewhere toward the back of the pack. That couldn't be more inaccurate. The No. 6 post seems to favor success, and the fact that jockey Calvin Borel will be riding the filly seems to indicate that the duo will finish highly—possibly even with a money-winning finish.

Borel is a talented jockey, and his confidence in Ria Antonia's chances should tell us that this filly has a shot, via Kentucky Derby Contenders' Twitter account:

Sure, if the tandem can find a hole, they'll have a shot. But what type of hole should we expect to see running against California Chrome? Chrome and Espinoza dominated the Kentucky Derby. Ria Antonia and Borel will need a flawless run in order to even compete with the Derby winner.

 

Ride On Curlin

Garry Jones/Associated Press

There are high expectations for Ride On Curlin, as the horse's seventh-place finish at the Kentucky Derby left much to be desired. Churchill Downs wasn't kind to the son of legendary horse Curlin, but Pimlico should bring more success.

Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman suggested on Twitter that Ride On Curlin was looking much better heading into the Preakness than he did heading into the Derby, so we'll have to see if this preparation impacts the final outcome:

Ride On Curlin drew an outside post at No. 10, but that should not discourage bettors. Trainer Billy Gowan certainly isn't concerned, per The Associated Press, via USA Today: "It's OK, I'm an outsider anyhow. I don't think it's bad here. With the kind of pace we have in the field, I think it's fine. He's a tough horse and he can take a lot of work. He moves good over this track."

On Wednesday, Ride On Curlin posted 49.60 seconds in a half-mile workout at Pimlico—the fastest at that distance. Don't count him out on Saturday.

 

California Chrome

It's hard to pick against the Kentucky Derby winner and consensus favorite.

There are multiple reasons why California Chrome should be considered both a favorite in this race and a favorite to win the Triple Crown, but it really all comes down to jockey Victor Espinoza. Sure, Chrome is both fast and smart on his own, but Espinoza's leadership makes this tandem tough to beat.

He knows how to handle a horse during a race. He held Chrome back brilliantly in the Derby until the final portion of the race. At that point, Chrome barreled through the competition and had a five-length lead before pulling back and winning by just about two lengths.

Chrome's ability to maintain speed, led by Espinoza's knowledge of racing, will be crucial in winning the Preakness.

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