New York Mets: Who Is Going to Crack Their 2015 Rotation?

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New York Mets: Who Is Going to Crack Their 2015 Rotation?
Frank Franklin II/Associated Press
Jenrry Mejia just lost his rotation slot in 2014. But will the tides change next season?

Going into 2015, the New York Mets will be faced with a unique situation: The team will have far too many starting pitchers.

In addition to Matt Harvey and Jeremy Hefner returning from Tommy John surgery, the Mets will also sport at least two additional major league-ready pitching prospects in Noah Syndergaard and Rafael Montero. And if you’re a believer in Jacob deGrom as a starter, he would bump that number up to three.

With the likes of current rotation mates Zack Wheeler, Jonathan Niese, Dillon Gee, Bartolo Colon and, to a lesser extent, Jenrry Mejia, all under contract next season, the Mets will possess 10 very viable starting pitchers for just five rotation slots in 2015.

Assuming the Mets front office will look to improve the team’s collective park-adjusted 88 wRC+ for next season, dealing at least one of their starting pitchers only makes sense.

Below details the likelihood of each pitcher's chances of locking up a 2015 rotation spot, getting relegated to bullpen duties or possibly being shipped elsewhere.

 

All statistics sourced from Baseball-Reference, including ERA+ and FIP. wRC+ is also a park-adjusted metric via FanGraphs. All minor league advanced statistics sourced from Minor League Central.

Make sure to read more of Ben Berkon’s work at The Beanball, and follow Ben on Twitter at @BenBerkon.

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