Preakness Picks 2014: Early Payout Projections for Pimlico Field

Chris RolingFeatured ColumnistMay 13, 2014

ARCADIA, CA - NOVEMBER 02:  Ria Antonia ridden by Javier Castellano reacts after crossing the finish line while She's a Tiger ridden by Gary Stevens follows in the Juvenile Fillies during the Breeders' Cup World Championships at Santa Anita Park on November 2, 2013 in Arcadia, California.  Ria Antonis was deemed the winner.  She's a Tiger would be disqualified.  (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
Harry How/Getty Images

The 2014 Preakness Stakes has plenty on the line for those participants brave enough to enter the field. While simply the middle race of the Triple Crown, there is more on the line than usual for the various owners, jockeys and horses.

Surprise contenders who did not even partake in the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs have a shot at the top prize, while favorites from the Derby, such as California Chrome, will be in attendance as well.

Let's take a moment to break down the odds for the horses confirmed for the race, although the field isn't final until the draw on Wednesday. We'll also provide a brief forecast and look at the new and improved payouts.

 

Odds

2014 Preakness Odds (as of May 12)
HorseOdds
California Chrome-155
Danza+600
Social Inclusion+600
Ride on Curlin+800
Dynamic Impact+800
Bayern+1000
General a Rod+1200
Pablo Del Monte+2000
Ring Weekend+3000
Ria Antonia+5000
Oddsshark.com

Odds courtesy of Oddsshark.com

Notes: Danza is unlikely to enter the race, per Daily Racing Form. Kid Cruz has entered the field, per Preakness.com, but his odds have yet to be posted.

 

Weather

Projected Weather for May 17
HighLowPrecipitationWind
71 degrees53 degrees20%NW 7 m.p.h.
Weather.com, as of May 12

 

Payout Projections

2014 Preakness Projected Winners and Payouts
PlaceHorse JockeyProjected Payout
1California Chrome Victor Espinoza$800,000
2Bayern Rosie Napravnik$400,000
3General A Rod Javier Castellano$170,000
4Ria Antonia Calvin Borel$80,000
5Ride on Curlin Joel Rosario$50,000
Projections

The Preakness gets a major boost this year, as The Maryland Jockey Club announced in December that the purse would increase from $1 million to $1.5 million for the five lucky winners.

Maryland Jockey Club president Tom Chuckas said in a press release, per Bloodhorse, via ESPN, that the middle of the three Triple Crown races is attempting to get bigger:

Obviously the Preakness is our biggest day. I think it sends the message that we're getting stronger and it sends the message to the industry that we're here, we're staying and it does well with our partnerships. When people see this, it allows us to grow our partnerships and our fan base.

The Preakness Stakes is the centerpiece of a terrific stakes program that weekend. Seventeen of the twenty-six races on Preakness and Black-Eyed Susan days are stakes. With this increase, the total value of our stakes program over the two-day period is nearly $4 million.

The biggest beneficiary of this increase will be California Chrome, the Kentucky Derby winner and best chance at a Triple Crown fans have seen in a decade or more. After winning five races in a row in impressive fashion, there is no doubt California Chrome is the favorite as long as the weather stays clean.

Matt Slocum/Associated Press

Even if the weather turns out to be miserable, things shouldn't deter too much from the current projections. Last year's race was a bit muddy after infrequent rain, but the winner only posted a time about two seconds slower than the one posted the year prior.

Close behind California Chrome will be Bayern, rode by local favorite Rosie Napravnik. But don't sleep on legendary jockey Calvin Borel and the only female in the race, Ria Antonia. She doesn't have a lot of recent winning ways, but Borel is a Hall of Famer who can get the most out of any horse.

All things considered, there is more on the line than ever at Pimlico, which is fitting with a horse in contention that can seemingly easily make history sooner rather than later.

 

All info courtesy of Preakness.com unless otherwise specified.