Toronto Blue Jays (+3000)
Why they'll win: They're due. The Blue Jays haven't made the playoffs since winning back-to-back World Series in 1992 and '93. The pitching staff is anchored by arguably the best in baseball, Roy Halladay (10-1, 2.53 ERA). MLB');">Scott Rolen has surprised with a .329 batting average, while the production of Adam Lind and Aaron Hill (48 RBI each) has also exceeded expectations.
Why they won't: Beyond Halladay, the rotation is made up of smoke and mirrors, and that can only work for so long. Second half of schedule is much tougher, with 18 games against Tampa Bay, 15 against the Yankees and 12 against Boston. Jays are a combined 3-6 against those opponents this year. This team lacks a true lead-off man, a legitimate cleanup hitter and a reliable closer.