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Blake Bortles' Full Rookie-Season Projections with Jacksonville Jaguars

Central Florida quarterback Blake Bortles poses with NFL commissioner Roger Gooddell after being selected as the third pick by the Jacksonville Jaguars in the first round of the 2014 NFL Draft, Thursday, May 8, 2014, in New York. (AP Photo/Craig Ruttle)
Craig Ruttle/Associated Press
Rob GoldbergFeatured ColumnistMay 9, 2014

Blake Bortles did not wait too long to hear his name called on draft day. The Central Florida quarterback was taken No. 3 overall by the Jacksonville Jaguars, and the future is bright for the young passer.

This selection was a bit of a surprise at this stage of the draft, especially considering the amount of disagreement among scouts about which is the best quarterback in the class.

Many thought Johnny Manziel earned this distinction, but the former Heisman Trophy winner did not come off the board until No. 22 to the Cleveland Browns.

However, the Jaguars had no problem taking Bortles this early in the first round.

Jeff Darlington of NFL.com notes how the staff was in agreement about the player:

According to ESPN's Chris Mortensen, offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch had good things to say about the passer:

Meanwhile, Darlington reports the feeling appeared to be mutual:

This is a good way to start off a career in the NFL, with both sides being extremely happy about what occurred in the draft.

Unfortunately, Bortles enters a tough situation in Jacksonville after the squad has won just 11 games in the past three years combined. The defense gave up the fifth-most points in the NFL and the offense was dead last in scoring last season.

There are some quality receivers on the roster in Cecil Shorts, Mike Brown and Ace Sanders, but the squad is not expecting suspended wideout Justin Blackmon to play in 2014.

While things are improving under second-year head coach Gus Bradley—and the offensive line will be better with a full year of Luke Joeckel at tackle—the team still has a long way to go before being a playoff contender.

For this reason, fans should expect a slow start to Bortles' career. In reality, this would likely have happened in any situation. The UCF quarterback has nice potential, but he is incredibly raw, as noted by Mike Mayock of NFL Network:

Instead of throwing him to the wolves in Week 1, the Jaguars should instead keep Chad Henne in the starting lineup while Bortles learns the ropes. He can use the time to develop and grow along with his young team before truly taking over as a starter.

Jacksonville has a relatively difficult opening schedule, with three of the first four games against division winners from last season. The squad will continue to struggle against tough teams all the way through the bye in Week 11.

In all likelihood, Bortles will be starting by this point and should be able to post some quality starts as he gets his first game action.

Although fans will be expecting the world, they should be patient as the quarterback develops. He will make mistakes and throw plenty of interceptions, but it will all be part of the growing process.

By the end of the year, the first-round pick will have a firm grasp of the offense and be able to post solid numbers to provide positive momentum heading into next season.

Projected stats: 8 starts, 1,624 passing yards, 61 percent completion rate, 10 touchdowns, 11 interceptions.

 

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