For all his talent, speed and power, Social Inclusion is just a baby. He's only raced three times, and he almost won in that third race, finishing a diminishing third to the eventual Kentucky Derby second choice, Wicked Strong.
Social Inclusion hasn't exactly snuck up on anyone (just once when he defeated Honor Code at Gulfstream by 10 lengths in an allowance race). He was 8-5 in the Wood Memorial off that effort, even better than the previously undefeated Samraat (second in the Wood, sixth in the Derby).
Social Inclusion's weakness could also be his strength. Seven years ago, Curlin was third in the Derby in just his fourth career start and then won the Preakness and nearly won the Belmont Stakes.
Inexperience has its benefits (namely rest, less wear and tear), but Social Inclusion is running up against horses with experience and game. If a handicapper had to point to why he could lose, that would be the sole reason.
Throw in that he's going to have some friends on the front end in the Preakness and he raises some questions that Gary Quill of Horse Racing Nation wants to know:
The question marks for Social Inclusion are…will the Pimlico dirt surface be as speed friendly as Gulfstream Park? Can he carry that speed for 1 3/16 miles? Can/will he rate off the pace since there will be plenty of other early speed coming from Bayern, Pablo Del Monte and Ring Weekend?