Kentucky Derby 2014: Final Vegas Betting Odds, Race Predictions and More

Shehan PeirisCorrespondent IIIMay 3, 2014

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 02:  Untapable #13, ridden by Rosie Napravnik, crosses the finish line to win the 140th running of the Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs on May 2, 2014 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

Horse racing is a sport that generally flies under the radar of mainstream public consciousness, but all eyes, ears and wallets will be on the 2014 Kentucky Derby as the horses trot into their gates. The event is always worth your time (it’s only two minutes, after all), but your attention is sure to be undivided if you put any money on the event. With the odds constantly changing, however, it can be hard to keep track—so this breakdown is here to help you in your gambling endeavors.


Where: Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky

Post Time: 6:24 p.m. ET on Saturday May 3

Where to Watch (TV): NBC

Where to Watch (Live Stream): NBC Sports Live Extra


The Field

Post PositionHorseJockeyTrainerOdds
1Vicar's In TroubleRosie NapravnikMike Maker19-1
2Harry's HolidayCorey LanerieMike Maker38-1
3Uncle SighIrad Ortiz Jr.Gary Contessa26-1
4DanzaJoe BravoTodd Pletcher9-1
5California ChromeVictor EspinozaArt Sherman2-1
6SamraatJose OrtizRick Violette Jr.15-1
7We Miss ArtieJavier CastellanoTodd Pletcher22-1
8General A RodJoel RosarioMike Maker29-1
9VinceremosJoe Rococo Jr.Todd Pletcher48-1
10Wildcat RedLuis SaezJose Garoffalo16-1
11HoppertunityMike SmithBob BaffertScratched
12Dance With FateCorey NakataniPeter Eurton14-1
13ChituMartin GarciaBob Baffert26-1
14Medal CountRobby AlbaradoDale Romans24-1
15TapitureRicardo Santana Jr.Steve Asmussen37-1
16Intense HolidayJohn VelazquezTodd Pletcher13-1
17Commanding CurveShaun BridgmohanDallas Stewart31-1
18Candy BoyGary StevensJohn Sadler16-1
19Ride On CurlinCalvin BorelBilly Gowan15-1
20Wicked StrongRajiv MaraghJimmy Jerkens7-1
21Pablo Del MonteJeffrey SanchezWesley WardScratched
Odds via

You can peruse the most up-to-date odds at the official Kentucky Derby website.




Win: Wildcat Red

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 01:  Kentucky Derby contender Wildcat Red works out on the track during early morning workouts at Churchill Downs on May 1, 2014 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Wildcat Red is my pick to win because of the tremendous fight he has shown in every one of his races. In seven races, he has never finished worse than second, and he has the speed to finish in the winner’s circle at Churchill Downs this year.

As the son of a noted sprinter, D’wildcat, Red definitely has the burst out of the gates of his father. That should help him jockey for position (pun somewhat intended) as he starts in the middle of the pack from post No. 10.

Attempting to wire the Kentucky Derby is, in general, a fool’s errand, so jockey Luis Saez will need to rein in his horse to make sure there is enough juice left in the tank for a furious finish.

If he can do that, the post position and closing burst will be good enough for Wildcat Red to don the ring of roses when it’s all said and done.


Place: California Chrome

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 01:  Kentucky Derby contender California Chrome works during early morning workouts at Churchill Downs on May 1, 2014 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The unquestioned favorite in this race is California Chrome, but that hasn’t generally worked out in the past. California Chrome is definitely the horse to beat here, however, given his spectacular form.

Cruising to dominant victories in his last four races, California Chrome has looked like a different breed compared to the rest of his competition. That said, early positioning will be crucial in this race. As trainer Art Sherman told Beth Harris of The Associated Press, “you want to get out and get yourself some position.”

Post No. 5 is not a bad place to be by any means, but generally, the middle of the pack fares better in terms of positioning. California Chrome will need to expend a good deal of energy early on in the race to establish positioning on the rail, and that will take away from the devastating closing speed the horse has displayed in recent races.

With an experienced jockey—Victor Espinoza—who has won at Churchill Downs before, all signs are pointing to a great showing by the California-bred horse.


Show: Ride On Curlin

LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 30:  Ride On Curlin runs on the track during the morning training for the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on April 30, 2014 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Ride On Curlin is a dark horse here, but a second-place finish at the Arkansas Derby and the presence of three-time winner Calvin Borel on his back will help this horse finish among the top three.

The son of Curlin, Ride On Curlin has the bloodlines and the perfect closing style to do damage at this year’s fastest two minutes in sports.