Kentucky Derby 2014 Horses: Updated Race-Day Odds and Post Positions Info

Patrick ClarkeCorrespondent IMay 3, 2014

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 04:  Jockey Joel Rosario guides Orb to the finish line to win the 139th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 4, 2013 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

Post position is a crucial factor in horse racing, especially at the Kentucky Derby, where horses and jockeys have minimal room for error.

Where a horse starts doesn't always determine where it finishes, but that doesn't mean a poor draw can't derail a horse's chances. 

Below, you'll find the latest race-day odds and starting posts for the 19-horse field.


Date: Saturday, May 3

Post Time: 6:24 p.m. ET

Where: Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky

Watch: NBC

Live Stream: NBC Sports Live Extra


2014 Kentucky Derby Lineup
2Vicar's In TroubleMike MakerRosie Napravnik20-1
3Harry's HolidayMike MakerCorey Lanerie50-1
4Uncle SighGary ContessaIrad Ortiz Jr.30-1
5DanzaTodd PletcherJoe Bravo8-1
6California ChromeArt ShermanVictor Espinoza5-2
7SamraatRick Violette Jr.Jose Ortiz15-1
8We Miss ArtieTodd PletcherJavier Castellano50-1
9General A RodMike MakerJoel Rosario15-1
10VinceremosTodd PletcherJoe Rocco Jr.30-1
11Wildcat RedJose GaroffaloLuis Saez15-1
12Dance With FatePeter EurtonCorey Nakatani20-1
13ChituBob BaffertMartin Garcia20-1
14Medal CountDale RomansRobby Albarado20-1
15TapitureSteve AsmussenRicardo Santana Jr.12-1
16Intense HolidayTodd PletcherJohn Velazquez8-1
17Commanding CurveDallas StewartShaun Bridgmohan50-1
18Candy BoyJohn SadlerGary Stevens15-1
19Ride On CurlinWilliam G. GowanCalvin Borel15-1
20Wicked StrongJames A. JerkensRajiv Maragh6-1
Info via Odds via

Historically, horses that start closer to the rail have fared better than horses starting outside at the Kentucky Derby. However, it's important to note that smaller Derby fields in the past have contributed to those numbers.

Since 1930, post No. 10 has been by bar the most successful starting slot, with nine horses winning from that gate, the most recent being Giacomo in 2005.

But on Saturday, 30-1 long-shot Vinceremos will start in the 10th post. So, bet on the underdog at your own peril.

While post Nos. 5 and 7 have combined to produce 14 Derby winners since 1930, including recent winners like Funny Cide in 2003 (post No. 5) and Street Sense in 2007 (post No. 7), post No. 6 hasn't been nearly as favorable, boasting just two Derby winners since 1930. Sea Hero was the last horse to win from that post back in 1993.

That's worth noting because odds-on favorite California Chrome will run from the sixth post on Saturday following the withdrawal of Pablo Del Monte on Friday. The scratch has resulted in the first 10 horses being moved down a post.

As Yahoo Sports' Pat Forde points out, trainer Art Sherman should be quite pleased with his horse's draw:

In fact, Sherman was awfully excited about his horse during Thursday's warm-up, per's Gary West

"He looked good out there. He's feeling good, and he's doing good. He's coming up to this race right."

You've got to put more stock into California Chrome's past outings than his starting slot. And the bigger issue is that the Santa Anita Derby winner will be surrounded by speedsters, as pointed out by West:

California Chrome's main problem in the Derby could be the pace and his position relative to the other speedsters. He has post position No. 5. To his inside, there are two horses, Uncle Sigh (No. 3) and Vicar's In Trouble (No. 1), who possess considerable natural speed. To the Derby favorite's outside, there are more speedsters -- Samraat (No. 6) and General A Rod (No. 8), but especially Wildcat Red (No. 10) and Chitu (No. 13).

If California Chrome can avoid getting swept up in a sprint, he'll have a chance to take over late. But with 18 other horses to contend with and the 10 furlongs providing a unique challenge to the favorite, there's no telling how things will shake out.

While post position isn't going to be the sole factor for a horse's performance on Saturday, it can provide a vital advantage or crippling disadvantage in some cases and should be factored into your predictions. 


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