Kentucky Derby 2014 Weather: Latest Forecast for Churchill Downs Race

Andrew Gould@AndrewGould4Featured ColumnistMay 3, 2014

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 02:  Tiz Windy #2 leads Handmade #1 and Flipcup #3 across the finish line to win the 3rd race ahead of the 140th Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs on May 2, 2014 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

The Kentucky Derby presents one of the year's most fascinating sporting events. This year's Run for the Roses should provide two thrilling minutes of television, as long as Mother Nature cooperates.

In the 140th running at Churchill Downs, California Chrome looks to cap off an incredible rags-to-riches story. Danza and Wicked Strong are just two competitors with intriguing backgrounds of their own who could challenge the favorite in Louisville.

Before walking over to the green screen for Saturday's weather report, let's take a look at the Kentucky Derby's updated field.

2014 Kentucky Derby Field
2Vicar's In TroubleRosie Napravnik
3Harry's HolidayCorey Lanerie
4Uncle SighIrad Ortiz Jr.
5DanzaJoe Bravo
6California ChromeVictor Espinoza
7SamraatJose Ortiz
8We Miss ArtieJavier Castellano
9General A RodJoel Rosario
10VinceremosJoe Rocco Jr.
11Wildcat RedLuis Saez
12Dance With FateCorey Nakatani
13ChituMartin Garcia
14Medal CountRobby Albarado
15TapitureRicardo Santana Jr.
16Intense HolidayJohn Velazquez
17Commanding CurveShaun Bridgmohan
18Candy BoyGary Stevens
19Ride On CurlinCalvin Borel
20Wicked StrongRajiv Maragh

Weather Forecast

For an outdoor event that can get muddled by poor conditions, nobody wants Tom Tucker to cut to Ollie Williams shouting, "It's gonna rain!" Luckily, that doesn't appear to be the case on Saturday.

According to The Weather Channel (as of Friday night), it's going to be partly cloudy in Louisville with a high of 74 degrees and a low of 52. If all pans out according to plan, those in attendance should enjoy a pleasant day at the track. 

The Weather Channel's Stephanie Abrams dared to use a bolder adjective starting with "p," calling the expected weather "perfect." 

From 6 p.m. to 7 p.m. ET, during which the Kentucky Derby will take place, a temperature of 72 degrees is anticipated with 36 percent humidity and a zero percent chance of precipitation. Take that, Ollie.

Meteorologists don't have a perfect track record, but everyone should feel relatively safe about the report bearing true this close to the event.

Otherwise, we'd have to break down which colts are most and least equipped to handle wet conditions on a slippery course. That sounds like a whole ordeal, so good thing it's not necessary with a clear forecast on the docket.

As long as Brick Tamland isn't working for The Weather Channel, there's no reason to anticipate Mother Nature spoiling Saturday's festivities.

Two Scratches

The weather looks dandy, but the mood was somewhat dampened when a top contender removed its hat from the ring of fans unironically wearing comically large hats.

As the second-biggest favorite behind California Chrome, Hoppertunity had a golden opportunity to garner a top finish at Churchill Downs. However, he won't get the chance, as The Blood-Horse's Esther Marr reported he will not compete due to an injury.

While jockey Mike Smith won't get the chance to claim his first Kentucky Derby victory, he realizes the horse's health takes paramount concern.

Besides, the Derby had a replacement ready in Pablo Del Monte, a major long shot with a chance to pull off a major stunner. There's nothing cooler than seeing an underdog defy the odds.

What's that? He was scratched too on Friday, forcing the field to fiddle down from 20 to 19? That's what the Kentucky Derby's official Twitter page is saying.

This creates a ripple-down effect that affects more than half the competitors. Every horse with a post position from No. 1-10 will mosey down a spot, vacating the first post. Hoppertunity was originally slotted at the No. 11 post.

Since 1930, the 10th spot has ushered in the most winners (nine). Vinceremos, a 50-1 long shot as of Friday night, via Oddsshark, moves to the winning number. Past post position, however, is mostly a matter of coincidence since it doesn't take this specific field into account, so forget I said anything.


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