The buildup and anticipation ahead of the 140th Kentucky Derby is nearly over, but with new information and theories continuing to pour in all the way until post time, there is no telling where the horses will ultimately stand once they're loaded into the gates.
There is always some measure of unpredictability when it comes to the Kentucky Derby since many of the horses are somewhat inexperienced and have never raced each other before. California Chrome has been singled out as the favorite, but there are tons of other contenders who have the ability to capitalize if California Chrome falters.
Here is everything you need to know about when and where to watch the 140th Run for the Roses, along with a look at how the horses will line up.
Where: Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky
Post Time: Saturday, May 3 at 6:24 p.m. ET
Kentucky Derby Post Positions
|1||Vicar's In Trouble||Rosie Napravnik||Mike Maker||25-1|
|2||Harry's Holiday||Corey Lanerie||Mike Maker||50-1|
|3||Uncle Sigh||Irad Ortiz Jr.||Gary Contessa||35-1|
|4||Danza||Joe Bravo||Todd Pletcher||8-1|
|5||California Chrome||Victor Espinoza||Art Sherman||21-10|
|6||Samraat||Jose Ortiz||Rick Violette Jr.||16-1|
|7||We Miss Artie||Javier Castellano||Todd Pletcher||33-1|
|8||General A Rod||Joel Rosario||Mike Maker||18-1|
|9||Vinceremos||Joe Rocco Jr.||Todd Pletecher||50-1|
|10||Wildcat Red||Luis Saez||Jose Garoffalo||18-1|
|11||Hoppertunity||Mike Smith||Bob Baffert||SCR|
|12||Dance With Fate||Corey Nakatani||Peter Eurton||14-1|
|13||Chitu||Martin Garcia||Bob Baffert||22-1|
|14||Medal Count||Robby Albarado||Dale Romans||22-1|
|15||Tapiture||Ricardo Santana Jr.||Steve Asmussen||20-1|
|16||Intense Holiday||John Velazquez||Todd Pletcher||12-1|
|17||Commanding Curve||Shaun Bridgmohan||Dallas Stewart||33-1|
|18||Candy Boy||Gary Stevens||John Sadler||18-1|
|19||Ride On Curlin||Calvin Borel||William G. Gowan||18-1|
|20||Wicked Strong||Rajiv Maragh||James A. Jerkens||8-1|
|21||Pablo Del Monte||Jeffrey Sanchez||Wesley Ward||SCR|
*Odds current as of 7 a.m. ET on Saturday, May 5.
Kentucky Derby TV Schedule
|Pre-Kentucky Derby Races||12 p.m.||NBCSN|
|Pre-Kentucky Derby Races||4 p.m.||NBC|
|Kentucky Derby||6:24 p.m.||NBC|
|Kentucky Derby Post-Race Show||7 p.m.||NBCSN|
Kentucky Derby Sleepers to Watch
Dance With Fate
Despite entering the Kentucky Derby as the No. 3 horse in terms of points earned, Dance With Fate is receiving very little respect ahead of the Fastest Two Minutes in Sports. With a favorable price and an ideal post position to boot, however, there is reason to believe that Dance With Fate has the ability to shock the world with a Kentucky Derby triumph.
Dance With Fate enters Churchill Downs with plenty of momentum on his side after winning the prestigious Blue Grass Stakes over fellow Kentucky Derby contender Medal Count. That was Dance With Fate's most impressive performance to date, so he seems to be peaking at the right time. Dance With Fate's string of success stretches well beyond that, though.
He has finished first or second in six of his past seven races, and he is also better prepared for the 10-furlong Kentucky Derby than most of his opponents after running nine furlongs in each of his past two races.
Perhaps even more important than that, though, is the fact that Dance With Fate has already faced and beaten favorite California Chrome, according to Larry Zap of Sports Radio 1090 AM in San Diego:
Dance with Fate beat California Chrome in their only meeting…remember that…when you take 3-1 on CC…DwF will be 10 to 15-1 & is sitting on Go— Larry Zap (@larryzapeye) May 2, 2014
Dance With Fate finished second to California Chrome's sixth in the Del Mar Futurity last September, and while both horses have changed since then, that is obviously significant.
The one thing holding Dance With Fate down with the bettors is likely the fact that he hasn't won on dirt in two tries, but in terms of his current form, he isn't that far off California Chrome.
In terms of overall speed, it can be argued that Wildcat Red matches up with any horse in the entire Kentucky Derby field. The big question relates to whether or not he can sustain that speed over the course of 10 furlongs, though. If Wildcat Red can do that, then he has surprise winner written all over him.
Jockey Luis Saez led Wildcat Red to his best showing in a win at the Fountain of Youth Stakes, and he will mount the speedy colt on Saturday. That familiarity should be quite helpful, as should the fact that Wildcat has a string of excellent races at his disposal. In seven career races, Wildcat Red has never finished worse than second.
Because of that, Mark Milligan of Timeform reports that Wildcat Red ranks just behind California Chrome and Danza in Timeform's rating system:
That is significant since California Chrome and Danza are being touted as two of the top contenders in the entire field. Both California Chrome and Danza seem to be more polished than Wildcat Red, but that may not matter in a one-race situation.
If Saez is able to find the right pace for Wildcat Red in order to ensure that he has something left down the stretch, he will be a real threat to win this thing.
Which sleeper horse is most likely to win the 2014 Kentucky Derby?
Uncle Sigh looks like a fairly unassuming horse entering the Kentucky Derby as he is among the long shots and will start near the inside. Even with a less-than-ideal post position, however, Uncle Sigh has shown that he can be a factor against some of the world's best horses.
Even though Uncle Sigh has just one win in five races, he always seems to be in the hunt. His fifth-place finish at the Wood Memorial was somewhat disappointing; however, he has largely been a consistent runner. Fellow Kentucky Derby entrant Samraat has had Uncle Sigh's number to a certain degree, but Uncle Sigh's trainer, Gary Contessa, sees his horse's ability to hang with Samraat as a positive, per Evan Hammonds of BloodHorse.com.
We had an opportunity to beat Samraat in the Withers; we could have beat him in the Gotham, I mean, we were right there on him. To me, Samraat is one of the horses that absolutely has a chance to win this race, so that means we do, too. ... We just didn't fare so well at the break in the Wood, but we deserve to be here. If we show up with our 'A' race, we have a chance.
The New York-bred colt has never run at any track other than Aqueduct, so there has likely been a bit of an adjustment period for him. The good news, however, is that he has a ton of experience on dirt, so he should feel right at home at Churchill Downs.
That familiarity gives him an advantage over most other horses, and it could very well lead to a surprising win.
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